LONDON, July 22 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
prices rose on Tuesday, slightly extending gains from the day
before when a rally exacerbated by thin liquidity sent German
10-year yields down by their most in four months.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro zone benchmark, was last
down 2.5 bps at 2.59%, after dropping 7 basis points on Monday,
its biggest daily fall since April.
The yield on Germany's previously under pressure 30-year
bond fell 8 bps on Monday and was last at 3.15%, again down 2.5
bps at 3.12% on the day.
Market participants were left somewhat bemused by Monday's
moves. Rabobank analysts said in a note it was "as dramatic as
it is hard to rationalise".
ING flagged the move in the 30-year yield as being
"difficult to justify from the newsflow alone", and said that
thin liquidity in the summer could amplify moves.
There was also possibly some profit-taking by those with
short positions in the mix, after Germany's 10-year yield
reached a near four-month high of 2.727% last week.
Traders are also trying to position ahead of the August 1
deadline for the EU to secure a trade deal with the U.S. or face
steep tariffs, though U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said
on Monday the Trump administration is more concerned with the
quality of trade agreements than their timing.
It may become slightly easier to explain market moves on
Thursday, when both business activity data is due and a meeting
is scheduled of the European Central Bank.
Economists expect the ECB to leave rates unchanged, though
the central bank's messaging will be closely watched as market
pricing currently expects one further 25 basis point rate cut
this year, potentially in September.
Germany's rate-sensitive two-year yield was down 1 bp at
1.80%. It dropped just 4 bps on Monday, meaning the
German yield curve "bull flattened", in market parlance - with
longer-dated yields falling more than short-dated.
That followed four weeks of steepening, when investors
focused on Germany's plans to increase government spending and
the likely impact on long-term borrowing costs.
Moves elsewhere were largely in line with the benchmark.
France's 10-year yield was last down 3.5 bps at
3.27% after falling nearly 10 bps on Monday, its most since
January, and Italy's 10-year yield was at 3.46%,
down 2.5 bps after a 9 bp decline the previous day.
That left the gap between German and Italian yields at 86.5
bps, continuing its steady narrowing trend.