* Bond yields lower after hitting multi-year peaks
* Analysts expect high energy prices and inflation to
keep long-end yields elevated
* ECB set to hike to bring inflation under control
(Updates for European late morning trading)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, May 20 (Reuters) - A selloff in euro zone bonds
paused on Wednesday with yields remaining close to the previous
day's multi-year highs reached on expectations that global
central banks will need to raise rates to tame inflation caused
by higher energy prices.
Bonds were supported on Wednesday after two oil tankers exited
the Strait of Hormuz, lifting hopes that the war in Iran may
soon be resolved as U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice
President JD Vance talked up the prospects of a peace deal.
Cooler-than-forecast British inflation was also alleviating some
pressure on bond markets.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone, was last down 3 basis points (bps) at 3.16%. It rose
to 3.2% on Tuesday, its highest level in 15 years.
HIGHER LONG-END YIELDS
Even if a deal to end the war is agreed soon, oil and gas
supplies are still expected to face severe disruption for
months, likely boosting inflation and crimping growth.
"The shortcomings resulting from the blockade of the Strait
of Hormuz are going to continue for a while," said DZ Bank
analyst René Albrecht.
Albrecht said that elevated oil prices, higher inflation and
a resilient U.S. economy point towards higher long-end rates
going forward.
Governments across the globe are expected to provide fiscal
support to lessen the impact of higher oil prices, which could
also pressure the long end of the curve. Germany last month
announced fuel tax cuts to ease pressure on consumers and
businesses.
Germany's 30-year yield was last down 1 bp at
3.688%, after rising to 3.716% on Tuesday, its highest level
since mid-2011.
ECB TO HIKE?
Markets were quick to shift their expectations for central banks
at the outbreak of the war. Prior to the conflict, the European
Central Bank was expected to keep interest rates on hold through
2026, but markets are now almost fully pricing in three rate
hikes by the end of the year.
Germany's two-year yield, which is highly sensitive
to changes in near-term interest rate expectations, was down 3
bps on Wednesday at 2.714%, and remains about 5 bps below its
late March high.
Below-forecast UK inflation was helping the mood on Wednesday,
although the outlook still looks tough as the Iran war pushes up
energy prices.
Japanese bond yields were also a touch lower on Wednesday -
after rising to a 29-year peak on Tuesday - following a solid
auction of 20-year bonds.
"We had some good news out of the UK this morning with the
CPI print. That has helped (bonds)," said DZ Bank's Albrecht.
Britain's 10-year gilt yield was down 7.5 bps at
5.05%, while the U.S. 10-year yield was at 4.65%,
after hitting a 16-month high the day before.