(Updates at 1100 GMT)
By Harry Robertson
LONDON, March 7 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell
slightly on Thursday as investors waited for the European
Central Bank meeting later in the day, when investors will tune
in to President Christine Lagarde for hints about when interest
rates might start to fall.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark
borrowing cost for the euro zone, was last down 3 basis points
(bps) from Wednesday at 2.303%. Yields move inversely to prices.
Bond yields have risen in 2024 - with the German 10-year
yield up around 30 bps - as investors have reined in their
expectations for rapid and steep interest rate cuts, with
economic data coming in stronger than expected and central
bankers sticking to a tough line on inflation.
The ECB will set rates at 1315 GMT (2.15 p.m. CET) and
Lagarde will hold a press conference at 1345 GMT.
Economists and investors say the ECB is certain to leave
rates at a record high of 4% but they will scrutinise Lagarde's
comments and new economic projections, which are expected to
downgrade inflation and growth forecasts for this year.
"The ECB are currently in a holding pattern, awaiting
further information on inflation before commencing their soft
landing," said Jason Davis, global rates portfolio manager at
JPMorgan Asset Management.
"We expect the ECB to reduce their inflation forecasts given
the better than expected progress towards target."
Italy's 10-year bond yield was 3 bps lower at
3.632% after a three-day slide helped take the closely watched
spread over Germany's 10-year yield to its lowest
since early 2022 at 130 bps. That gap stood at 131 bps on
Thursday.
Yields cooled on Wednesday as investors took comfort from
U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's balanced comments on
inflation and interest rates. Powell said he still expected rate
cuts in the coming months if inflation continued to drop.
Market pricing suggests investors expect both the ECB and
the Fed to start cutting rates in June, with around 90 bps of
cuts expected from both central banks this year.
Germany's 2-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to ECB rate expectations, was down 4 bps on Thursday at 2.835%.