(Updates moves at 1110 GMT)
By Linda Pasquini
LONDON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - The spread between French
and German 10-year yields hit its widest in seven weeks on
Thursday, as rising expectations that the ECB could cut rates in
October boosted bond prices overall, but French bonds lagged
amid domestic political jitters.
Germany's 10-year yield fell 5 basis points to 2.14% and
France's was down 3 bps at 2.94%.
The spread between them, showing the greater
returns investors demand for the risk of holding French debt
over the euro zone benchmark, hit 82 bps, its widest since Aug.
5, up from around 70 bps two weeks ago, before easing a touch.
Investors are monitoring French yields, which on Tuesday
rose above Spain's for the first time since 2008 amid concern
over the administration's ability to tackle the budget deficit.
On Wednesday, France's new finance and budget ministers said
they would focus a budget squeeze on spending cuts first and
then tax increases, as the new government faces calls to come up
with realistic plans to rein in a spiralling fiscal shortfall.
Driving the fall in euro zone yields were expectations that
the European Central Bank will cut rates at its October meeting.
Market pricing now reflects a slightly more than 50% chance
of a cut next month, up sharply from last week, as soft European
business activity survey, a downbeat German business morale
report and a fall in U.S. consumer confidence all suggest the
European economy is weakening and requires monetary easing.
Bond yields fell on Thursday after Reuters reported that
policy doves at the ECB are preparing to fight for an October
cut, a move likely to meet resistance from their more
conservative peers, seven sources told Reuters.
However, previous ECB messaging still suggests the doves
have a tough task.
"I think the bar is quite high for the ECB to cut interest
rates. The message from (ECB President) Lagarde in September was
'we would rather wait until December'," said Yvan Mamalet,
senior economist and strategist at Kleinwort Hambros.
"So you will need to see a very negative surprise on
inflation or further negative surprises on growth for the ECB to
cut in October. December is definite though."
French inflation data is due Friday, and other national and
bloc wide data follows next week.
Italy's 10 year yield was down 8 bps at 3.46%.
and the rate sensitive German two year yield was down 5 bps at
2.09%.