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Eye on key U.S. data, tech earnings
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Euro zone inflation reads awaited
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U.S. Treasury yields drop
(Updates latest price moves, adds live quotes from strategists,
adds latest comments from Bessent on trade policy)
By Lucy Raitano
LONDON, April 29 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields slipped on Tuesday but remained largely rangebound as
traders caught their breath ahead of this week's raft of
economic data and big tech results which should give a clearer
view of the state of the U.S. economy.
U.S. GDP, inflation and employment data are all due this
week, with key releases starting from Wednesday.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the euro zone benchmark, was
last down 2 bps to 2.49% and its rate-sensitive two-year yield
was steady at 1.74%.
Italy's 10-year yield was flat at 3.62%, leaving the spread
between German and Italian 10-year yields at 108.7 basis points.
Yields took a slight hit in early afternoon trading,
tracking U.S. Treasury yields which dropped as U.S. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent said during a press briefing that China
could lose 10 million jobs due to tariffs.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps, slightly
underperforming euro zone yields.
"The U.S. expansionary phase ... was already clearly
running out of steam, even before we saw the destruction and
turmoil that resulted from the tariffs," said Richard McGuire,
head of rates strategy at Rabobank.
He pointed to U.S. GDP figures due Wednesday as well as
earnings due out from the likes of tech giants Apple ( AAPL ),
Meta, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Amazon ( AMZN ).
"The earnings releases from these companies over the
next couple of days will be an important staging post as the
market tries to understand the relative strength or weakness of
the outlook," McGuire said, though he added that both the
results and U.S. data would be somewhat backward looking.
"The key point is that any weakness that they indicate
is clearly before the additional headwinds," he said.
As well as keeping an eye on tariff developments and key
U.S. data, market players are awaiting euro zone countries'
inflation data. Spain was first to report on Tuesday with a
slightly sticky print that markets nevertheless brushed off.
Spain's 12-month, EU-harmonised inflation was unchanged at
2.2% in April - but higher than the 2.0% rate expected by
analysts polled by Reuters. Meanwhile, economic growth slowed to
0.6% in the first quarter.
"Spanish CPI was above forecast but no one seems to care
too much," said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate research FX and
rates at Societe Generale. "CPI for France and Germany (on
Wednesday) will be a better test."
Investors are watching the inflation data in case
higher-than-expected figures make it harder for the European
Central Bank to cut interest rates to support economic growth,
particularly given the expected hit from tariffs.
Broux said growth risks now "had the upper hand" for the
ECB, and the main question was whether they cut their key
interest rate to 1.75% from its current 2.25% in one 50 basis
point jump, or in two 25 bps moves.
Market pricing currently reflects expectations of a 25
bps cut in June, but they show an outside chance of a 50 bps
move.,
ECB board member Piero Cipollone said on Tuesday that a
global trade war could lower both economic growth and inflation
in the euro zone and it could have an "unambiguously
recessionary effect" on the countries involved.