LONDON, July 26 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields edged higher on Friday, as investors took profit on this
week's drop in short-dated yields to six-month lows, after hefty
sell-offs in global equities sparked some safe-haven flows into
fixed income.
Mounting expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut
interest rates in September have drummed up enthusiasm for
Treasuries, which has carried through in the euro zone market.
German two-year Schatz yields, which are the most
sensitive to shifts in expectations for European Central Bank
monetary policy, are heading for a third weekly fall.
Two-year yields dipped 1.3 basis points on Friday to
2.6983%, but have dropped by 8 bps so far this week to their
lowest since February, for their strongest performance in more
than a month.
Rainer Guntermann, a strategist at Commerzbank, said the
euro zone market was responding more to broader risk appetite
than rate-cut expectations, as market pricing for two ECB cuts
this year looks fairly stable.
"(Euro zone government bond) spreads are trading aligned
with risk sentiment again and are no longer directional to the
front-end, as ECB rate cut expectations no longer compensate for
the deteriorating macro outlook in case of weaker data," he said
in a note.
The gap between two-year yields and those on longer-dated
bonds has also shrunk. The premium over 10-year Bund yields
is at 25 bps, close to its smallest since January.
German 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone bloc, was up 4 bps at 2.45%.
Italian 10-year yields were up 5.2 bps at
3.827%, set for a weekly rise of nearly 5 bps, reflecting
the outperformance of safe-havens such as German bonds.
The gap between German and Italian yields has
widened by 5 bps this week to 133.80 bps, having touched its
widest since early July.
The main macro event later in the day is the U.S. personal
consumption expenditures index (PCE), the Fed's preferred
measure of inflation. Euro zone bonds may catch a bid if the
core rate undershoots expectations for a year-on-year rise of
2.5%.
(Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by xxxxx)