(Updates with US employment data; refreshes prices)
* Traders cut chances of another ECB rate hike this year to
around 71%
* Lagarde said euro zone inflation, growth risks are now
more broadly balanced
* Two-year German yields hit their lowest level since
mid-April as oil prices retreated
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, July 2 (Reuters) - Short-dated euro zone government
bond yields drifted lower on Thursday, as investors dialled down
their expectations for the European Central Bank to aggressively
raise interest rates this year.
A softer U.S. employment report for June gave the Treasury
market some support, which in turn filtered into the euro zone
market, where yields edged lower in afternoon trading.
Two-year German Schatz yields, the most sensitive to
shifts in expectations for rates and inflation, have fallen 1.6
basis points this week, having touched their lowest level since
mid-April, as the oil price has retreated. They were last down 1
bp on the day at 2.50%.
ECB President Christine Lagarde said on Wednesday the risks
to euro zone inflation and economic growth were now more broadly
balanced than a few weeks ago, given the recent fall in oil
prices, which prompted traders to cut the chances of one more
rate hike this year to around 71%, from closer to 100% a week
ago.
The ECB, in its last policy decision, said risks to growth
were skewed to the downside, while inflation risks were skewed
to the upside.
Benchmark 10-year Bund yields were up for a fourth
day in a row, trading 3 bps higher at 2.956%.
"Our read of Lagarde's comments is that the ECB would remain
on hold if oil prices remain around current levels," Jefferies
strategist Mohit Kumar said.
WARSH STICKING TO FED INFLATION TARGET
The euro zone market offered little reaction to data on
Thursday that showed U.S. job creation was far slower last month
than forecast. The monthly employment report showed just 57,000
workers were added to payrolls in June, compared with
expectations for an increase of 110,000.
Money markets showed traders continue to price in at least one
rate hike from the Federal Reserve this year.
"With the new Fed chair having placed the focus squarely on
inflation, June payrolls are unlikely to shift interest rate
expectations on their own," said Julien Lafargue, chief market
strategist at Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management.
"The data may also be distorted as hiring linked to the FIFA
World Cup may have temporarily boosted employment in sectors
such as leisure and hospitality during the survey period. As a
result, markets are likely to place greater weight on the June
CPI (Consumer Price Index) report due on 14 July, as inflation
data will offer a cleaner read on the economy," he said.
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said on Wednesday he would stick firmly
to the U.S. central bank's 2% inflation target and "disappoint"
anyone who expected loose monetary policy, despite President
Donald Trump's call for interest rate cuts.
Since Warsh took over as Fed chief on May 22, U.S. Treasuries
have noticeably underperformed other major bond markets, as
investors rushed to factor in the possibility of rate hikes this
year.
Two-year Treasury yields have barely moved in that
time, compared with a drop of nearly 14 bps in German 2-year
yields, which have benefited from investors lowering
their expectations for the ECB to deliver more than one rate
hike this year.
The premium of 2-year Treasury yields over 2-year German
is now around 163 bps, close to its highest since
last September, reflecting the rising chances of Fed hikes
versus the falling chances of many more from the ECB.
(Editing by Alex Richardson and Paul Simao)