* Central banks' decisions awaited amid rising energy
prices
* Euro zone bond yields retreat after recent highs
* Markets expect ECB rate hikes due to Middle East
conflict
(Updates for late European morning trading)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, March 17 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields edged lower on Tuesday as markets paused ahead of a slew
of central bank decisions later this week, even as oil prices
rose again.
Brent crude climbed about 3% as traffic through the
Strait of Hormuz remained severely disrupted, fuelling concerns
about higher energy costs and inflation.
The Federal Reserve delivers its policy decision on
Wednesday, followed on Thursday by the European Central Bank,
Bank of England and Bank of Japan.
"Markets are bracing themselves for the central bank
avalanche kicking off tomorrow," said Commerzbank rates
strategist Erik Liem in a note.
Expectations for near-term rate cuts from the Fed and BoE
have been dashed by the jump in energy prices since the start of
the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, while markets have moved to price
in tighter ECB policy by year-end.
The hawkish global repricing has pushed up euro zone bond
yields to their highest in months, with the bloc's economy
particularly sensitive to rising energy costs, although yields
have eased slightly this week.
"The decline in yields that we've seen for a couple of days
is a pullback after the massive selloff (in bonds)," said Jussi
Hiljanen, rates strategist at SEB. Bond yields move inversely to
prices.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone, was down 2 basis points to 2.928% but still close
to Friday's peak of 2.994%, its highest since October 2023.
The two-year yield, which is more sensitive to
ECB rate expectations, was down 2 bps at 2.391%. It has risen
more than 40 bps since the outbreak of the conflict.
Money market traders are pricing in about 38 bps of ECB
tightening by year-end, implying one quarter-point rate hike and
about a 50% chance of a second.
SEB's Hiljanen said markets may need to price in more
tightening as he sees no quick resolution in the Middle East.
"The scenario that we have been pencilling in is that if
this continues for a couple of months with elevated energy
prices, markets should move to price two to three ECB rate hikes
this year," he said.
Italy's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone's more indebted countries, was down 3.5 bps at 3.694%,
narrowing the gap over Germany to 75.5 bps.