(Updates at 1507 GMT)
By Harry Robertson
LONDON, June 3 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell on
Monday after data showed factory activity remained weak in the
bloc and shrunk in the U.S. in May, as markets awaited a likely
European Central Bank rate cut on Thursday.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, fell 7 basis points (bps) to 2.577%.
Final readings of survey-based gauges of Europe's
manufacturing sector showed activity remained below the mark
denoting growth for a 23rd month.
The purchasing managers' index surveys also came in slightly
lower than preliminary readings, although the downturn was still
moderated compared to April.
"Overall, these data suggest that conditions in
manufacturing remained difficult midway through Q2," said Claus
Vistesen, chief euro zone economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
"But they also clearly signal that the recession...is now
easing."
U.S. manufacturing activity also slowed for a second
straight month, the Institute for Supply Management's PMI survey
showed, further supporting the idea that U.S. growth is set to
slow as previous rate hikes bite.
"Overall, the data is consistent with the view that the
manufacturing sector is not going to add meaningfully to
economic activity this year," said ING chief international
economist James Knightley.
European bonds have often been driven by expectations for
Federal Reserve policy over the last two years, given the size
and importance of the U.S. economy.
Markets were not fully pricing the first quarter-point rate
cut from the Fed until November, with around a two-in-three
chance they move in September.
Italy's 10-year yield was down 7.5 bps at
3.887%, and the gap between Italian and German yields
stood at 130 bps.
The market's focus this week is on the ECB's interest rate
decision on Thursday, when it is all but certain to cut rates to
3.75%, from the current record high of 4%.
Investors will be looking out for any hints about when the
next reduction might come, with some on the ECB's Governing
Council pushing back against the idea of a July cut. Data last
week showed that euro zone inflation was stronger than expected
in May.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was down 5
bps at 3.033%.
"While there is a consensus on this first rate cut, the pace
of future cuts is already subject to lively debate within the
Council," said Franck Dixmier, global chief investment officer
for fixed income at Allianz Global Investors, in emailed
comments.
"Future inflation data is likely to be volatile, and the ECB
is likely to caution that it is sticking to its gradual approach
to cutting rates."
French bonds showed little notable reaction to ratings
agency S&P downgrading the country's credit rating late on
Friday.
Just before the EU's parliamentary elections, S&P cut
France's rating to "AA-" from "AA", saying higher than expected
deficits would push up debt in the euro zone's second-biggest
economy.
France's 10-year bond yield was down 7 bps at
3.0668%, broadly in line with the move in other euro zone
country bonds.