(Updates all prices)
By Alun John and Lucy Raitano
LONDON, May 5 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields were a touch lower on Tuesday, in line with softer oil
prices, following a sharp selloff on the previous day, with
investors focused on developments in the Strait of Hormuz.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone,
was down 1 basis point at 3.075%, after a 5-bp jump in the
previous session.
Its rate-sensitive two-year yield was down 3 bps at 2.6911%,
just off last week's one-month high of 2.76%.
Traders are closely tracking the situation in the Gulf as
they assess whether central banks will be forced to raise
interest rates to prevent higher energy prices from spilling
over into broader inflation, and if so when.
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Tuesday the
ceasefire with Iran was not over, even as the U.S. and Iran
exchanged fire in the Gulf and wrestled for control of the
Strait of Hormuz.
The European Central Bank kept rates unchanged last week,
but debated a hike and signalled that policy tightening might be
necessary in June.
Bond yields rose sharply on Monday, driven by a jump in oil
prices. As oil edged lower on Tuesday, yields fell.
Government bond markets have sharply diverged from global
stock markets. While equities, led by the U.S. and tech-heavy
Asian bourses, are higher than their pre-war levels, yields,
which move inversely to bond prices, remain well above their
levels from late February.
Before the conflict, Germany's 10-year yield was at 2.65%
and its two-year at 2.00%.
The difference between stocks and government bonds suggests
"markets are treating the most likely outcome as a mild
stagflationary shock, enough to constrain central banks, but not
enough to pose more serious long-term risks," Lotfi Karoui,
multi-asset credit strategist at PIMCO, said in a note.
"Put another way, risk assets appear to be more willing to
look through a period of potentially softer growth, higher
inflation, and constrained monetary policy, while rates can't."
Other euro zone yields moved largely in line with the German
benchmark.
Italy's 10-year yield fell 5 bps to 3.8867% and its two-year was
down 1 bp at 2.8865%.
Markets see Italian debt as more vulnerable than German. When
yields have risen with oil prices, the gap between Italian and
German debt has widened. It was last at 78 bps, 5 bps narrower
on the day. It widened by 3 bps on Monday.