* Traders see lower chances of another ECB rate hike this
year
* German 2-year yields up 2 bps at 2.529% after touching
lowest since mid-April
* The 2-year Treasury premium over Germany reaches 165 bps,
near 10-month highs
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, July 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged higher on Thursday, but remained near this week's lows, as
investors dialled down their expectations for the European
Central Bank to aggressively raise interest rates this year.
ECB President Christine Lagarde said on Wednesday the risks
to euro zone inflation and economic growth were now more broadly
balanced than a few weeks ago, given the recent fall in oil
prices, which prompted traders to cut the chances of one more
rate hike this year to around 87%, from closer to 100% a week
ago.
The ECB, in its last policy decision, said that risks to
growth were skewed to the downside, while inflation risks were
skewed to the upside.
Two-year German Schatz yields, the most sensitive
to shifts in expectations for rates and inflation, have risen
just 1.4 basis points this week, having touched their lowest
since mid-April, as the oil price has retreated. They were last
up 2 bps on the day at 2.529%.
Benchmark 10-year Bund yields were up for a
fourth day in a row, trading 2 bps higher at 2.94%.
"Our read of Lagarde's comments is that the ECB would remain
on hold if oil prices remain around current levels," Jefferies
strategist Mohit Kumar said.
WARSH STICKING TO FED INFLATION TARGET
Lagarde was speaking at the ECB's annual forum in the
Portuguese town of Sintra, where Federal Reserve Chair Kevin
Warsh dispelled any notion that he might take a moderate
approach to inflation by saying he would stick firmly to the
central bank's 2% target and "disappoint" anyone who expected
loose monetary policy, despite President Donald Trump's call for
interest rate cuts.
Since Warsh took the helm at the Fed on May 22, U.S.
Treasuries have noticeably underperformed other major bond
markets, as investors rushed to factor in the possibility of
rate hikes this year.
Two-year Treasury yields have risen 5.15 bps in
that time, compared with a drop of nearly 10.5 bps in German
2-year yields, which have benefited from investors
lowering their expectations for the ECB to deliver more than one
rate hike this year.
The premium of 2-year Treasury yields over 2-year German
is now around 165 bps, close to its highest since
last September, reflecting the rising chances of Fed hikes
versus the falling chances of many more from the ECB.
The main macro event is the monthly U.S. employment report
for June later on Thursday. A Reuters poll of economists offers
a forecast for an increase of 110,000 workers on non-farm
payrolls, below May's 172,000 rise, while the unemployment rate
is expected to remain at 4.3%.
(Editing by Alex Richardson)