(Updates after Lagarde press conference)
By Linda Pasquini and Samuel Indyk
June 5 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields turned higher
on Thursday after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde
hinted that the easing cycle could be coming to an end, after
its eighth rate cut since June last year.
The ECB
lowered its deposit rate
by 25 basis points to 2%, in line with expectations, having
now reduced the rate by a combined two percentage points over
the last 12 months.
With
inflation back at target
, investors were watching for clues on the future path for
interest rates.
The outlook for further rate cuts took a hit after
Lagarde said the ECB was in a "
good place
", suggesting the central bank could wait before lowering
borrowing costs further, even though she denied this was
confirmation of a pause.
"Today's communication is rather suggesting that they
might prefer to take a pause in July and wait for more data,
wait for more clarity on trade negotiations, and also wait for
the next round of staff projections in September," said Jussi
Hiljanen, chief rates strategist at SEB.
Money market traders scaled back bets for rate cuts and
were now pricing in just 25 basis points of easing by year-end,
from around 30 basis points before the press conference began.
Futures imply just a 12% chance of a rate cut in July,
from about 30% before the press conference.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive
to changes in monetary policy expectations, was up 6.5 basis
points at 1.86%, having been slightly lower before Lagarde's
press conference.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for
the 20-nation euro zone, was last up 3 basis points at 2.555%,
having earlier hit 2.476%, its lowest since May 8.
The central bank also
lowered its inflation and growth projections
as U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war continues to
impact the global economy.
"A further escalation of trade tensions over the coming
months would result in growth and inflation being below the
baseline projections," the ECB said in its statement.
The European Union and the U.S.
remain in talks
about a potential trade agreement.
Italy's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro area periphery, was up 3.5 bps at 3.533%, having earlier
hit its lowest since February 10 at 3.443%. The gap between
Italian and German yields stood at about 95 basis
points.
Meanwhile, data on Thursday showed a larger-than-expected
decline in euro zone producer prices in April compared with the
previous month, helped by lower energy prices.