LONDON, March 26 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields rose
on Thursday as energy prices climbed again, with traders casting
a sceptical eye on conflicting claims about the status of
ceasefire talks over the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
Money markets also moved to price in more monetary
tightening from the European Central Bank after German
Bundesbank chief Joachim Nagel told Reuters that raising
interest rates in April is "an option".
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to ECB rate expectations, rose 6 basis points (bps) in early
trading to 2.659%, after falling 4 bps on Wednesday. Yields rise
as prices fall and vice versa.
Iran's foreign minister said his country was reviewing a
U.S. peace plan but had no intention of holding talks on ending
the conflict, contradicting President Donald Trump's claims that
Iran was desperate to make a deal.
Oil prices rose as the two sides struggled or refused to
find a way forward, with international benchmark Brent crude
up around 3% to $105 a barrel.
Bond yields have largely moved in tandem with energy prices,
which could drive an inflationary shock that may force the ECB
to hike interest rates.
Money markets on Thursday were pricing in more than 75 basis
points of ECB hikes by the end of the year, up from around 71
priced in late on Wednesday.
ECB policymaker Nagel told Reuters that he and colleagues
will have enough information about the war's economic impact to
decide on a potential rate hike at their April 29-30 gathering.
"It is certainly an option, but just one option," he said of
an April rate increase.
Traders last saw around a 70% chance of a rate increase by
April, up from around 65% late on Wednesday.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone, rose 4 bps to 2.997% on Thursday, after falling 6
bps on Wednesday on reports of ceasefire talks.
Italian yields rose more than most of their peers, with the
10-year up 8 bps at 3.919%. That pushed the spread
between Italian and German 10-year yields up 4 bps
to 90 bps.
(Reporting by Harry Robertson; Editing by Ros Russell)