(Updates at 1140 GMT)
By Alun John
LONDON, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields rose to
multi-week highs on Thursday, and were set for their biggest
monthly gain in six months as traders processed a series of
developments around the world each largely pointing to a slower
pace of central bank rate cuts.
Germany's 10-year yield rose as much as 5 basis points to
2.425%, its highest since late July, and was last at 2.41%.
The euro zone benchmark yield has risen 27 bps in
October, which would be its biggest monthly increase since
April. The move is largely in line with those elsewhere, with
the benchmark 10 year Treasury yield up 47 bps this month, which
also would be its biggest increase in six months.
Germany's two-year yield was 4 bps higher at 2.32%, its
highest since early September.
"The big looming events are definitely the U.S.
elections and we've got big U.S. payroll numbers Friday, but
leading into those the economic data is holding up quite well
with upside surprises in the euro zone and the U.S." said
Michiel Tukker, senior European rates strategist at ING.
The
euro zone economy
grew 0.4% in the third quarter compared to the previous
month, faster than expected albeit still fragile, Wednesday data
showed.
In addition, numbers Thursday showed
euro zone inflation
accelerated more than expected in October and could still
pick up further in the coming months.
Always closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls are due
Friday, and before then is PCE inflation data, the Fed's
preferred gauge.
"Then in the UK you have yields going up, as, after the
budget, markets reconsider whether the terminal rate for the BoE
needs to be higher, and the conclusion of it all is that central
banks don't need to cut as much," Tukker said.
Markets now see fewer than four Bank of England rate
cuts by December 2025 as they digest finance minister Rachel
Reeves' budget, pushing the 10 year gilt yield to its highest in
a year.
Also in the mix is the U.S election, and while opinion
polls too close to call a winner, investors have been putting on
trades betting Republican candidate Donald Trump could be
president again, including bets that Treasury yields will rise.
The impact of the election on euro zone bonds is less
clear as while they have moved in line with U.S. peers in recent
years, tariffs on Europe under a second Trump presidency could
push the European Central Bank to cut rates more quickly, Tukker
said.
Markets are fully pricing a 25 bp ECB cut in December,
though have recently reduced expectations they go for a larger
50 bp move.
Elsewhere the Bank of Japan maintained ultra low interest
rates as expected, but stressed its resolve to keep hiking
borrowing costs if the economy sustains a moderate recovery.
Italy's 10-year yield was last up 4 bps at 3.66%, also its
highest since early September, leaving the spread between
Italian and German yields at 125 bps.