(Updates at 1110 GMT)
By Harry Robertson
LONDON, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields dropped
on Tuesday as data showed inflation in the bloc fell below the
European Central Bank's 2% target in September, and comments
from ECB officials bolstered bets on an October rate cut.
Data on Tuesday showed euro zone inflation fell to 1.8%
year-on-year in September - below the 2% level for the first
time since mid-2021 - from 2.2% in August.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, fell 8 basis points (bps) to 2.052%, its
lowest since January. Yields move inversely to prices.
"It's a big change that has been taking place over the past
few days, over the past week, when it comes to interest rate
expectations," said Jussi Hiljanen, head of European rates
strategy at lender SEB.
"Basically an October rate cut has been baked into the
pricing. That has been having an impact on yields."
Traders in money markets on Tuesday saw a roughly 85% chance
of a 25 bp cut from the ECB in October, up from 75% on Monday
and 45% a week ago. The ECB cut rates by 25 bps in June and
again in September, taking them to 3.5%.
Italy's 10-year yield fell 9 bps to 3.376%,
while the gap between Italian and German yields
stood at 132 bps.
Investors were keeping an eye on a sharp drop in oil prices,
which slid 2% on a stronger supply outlook and subdued demand
despite Israel beginning a ground incursion into Lebanon.
Germany's two-year bond yield was down 3 bps at
2.04%, the lowest since December 2022.
Finnish ECB policymaker Olli Rehn said on Tuesday that the
inflation slowdown means there are now more reasons to justify
an interest rate cut at the October meeting.
President Christine Lagarde on Monday said the ECB will take
into account the drop in inflation when it meets later this
month.
France's 10-year bond yield fell 11 bps to
2.813%, helping the gap between French and German yields narrow
to 76 bps.
Emmanouil Karimalis, macro rates strategist at UBS, said a
media report that France's new government is considering tax
hikes of 15 billion to 18 billion euros ($16.71-20.06 billion)
was likely reassuring investors about French debt and helping
other longer-dated bonds.