LONDON, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields got off to a steady start on Monday, with French debt
lagging after credit ratings agency Fitch cut France's long-term
rating on Friday, as the country grapples with a slowing economy
and ballooning debt.
This week is packed with macro risk events, including rate
decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and
the Bank of Japan, all of which could help shape investor
appetite for euro zone debt.
French 10-year notes were up 1 basis point for a
yield of 3.516%, compared with a slight dip in benchmark German
yields to 2.708%. The premium investors demand to
own French, rather than German bonds, traded above 80 bps on
Monday, having risen from around 65 bps in the last month, as a
vulnerable French government headed towards last week's
confidence vote.
President Emmanuel Macron last week named loyalist Sebastien
Lecornu as France's fifth prime minister in under two years,
after predecessor Francois Bayrou was toppled in the
parliamentary confidence vote over the government's hugely
unpopular budget.
Fitch cut France's rating by one notch to A+ late on Friday.
"Our main worry for France comes from the upcoming rating
actions from Moody's and/or S&P. Currently, Moody's and S&P both
have France as AA-," Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar said.
"If political uncertainty lingers, there is a risk of at
least one more downgrade. If France falls below AA- from two or
more rating agencies, we could see some forced selling from
institutional accounts. We remain negative on France spreads."
The European Central Bank last week left euro zone rates
unchanged, as expected, and lowered its longer-term inflation
projections.
In an interview with the Financial Times published on
Monday, newly appointed Austrian central bank governor Martin
Kocher said the ECB was likely at, or very close, to the end of
its easing cycle, a view echoed by euro zone derivatives
markets.
In addition to the slew of central bank policy decisions,
there is a hefty amount of new debt coming to market this week.
Germany, France, Spain, Slovakia, Greece and Finland all hold
auctions, for a total of 28 billion euros ($32.81 billion) in
supply, according to Commerzbank estimates.
($1 = 0.8533 euros)