LONDON, June 16 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
steadied on Tuesday after touching a more than two-week low the
day before, following a preliminary agreement between the U.S.
and Iran to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
The agreement to reopen the vital waterway, which saw
one-fifth of the world's oil and gas flow through it before the
war, should ease pressure on energy supplies, which pushed
front-month Brent crude futures to their lowest level
since March 10.
Lower energy prices have dampened worries about higher
inflation and slowing growth, and helped reduce expectations for
further policy tightening from major central banks, including
the European Central Bank.
Germany's 10-year Bund yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone, was little changed at 2.954%. It fell 5 bps on
Monday to 2.9443%, its lowest since May 29.
Germany's two-year yield, which is sensitive to
changes in ECB rate expectations, was up 0.5 bps at 2.577% after
falling to a two-week low of 2.547% on Monday.
ECB HIKE EXPECTATIONS TRIMMED
Last week, the ECB was the first major central bank to tighten
policy since the outbreak of the war, followed by a Bank of
Japan rate hike earlier on Tuesday.
Investors, however, have trimmed their expectations for
further hikes from the ECB following the peace agreement, even
if details of the deal are light. Money market futures are fully
pricing in 32 bps of tightening by the end of the year, implying
one quarter-point hike and around a 30% chance of another.
"Our view remains that a deal implies that ... the ECB
should be done with its rate hiking cycle," Jefferies economist
Mohit Kumar said.
ECB President Christine Lagarde on Monday welcomed news of the
peace agreement, but other policymakers, including Germany's
Joachim Nagel, said there would be no immediate relief on
inflation because it would take months to restore oil supply to
its pre-war level.
ECB chief economist Philip Lane is scheduled to participate
in a Reuters NEXT event later on Tuesday, which could provide
further clues on the outlook for monetary policy.