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By Harry Robertson
LONDON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields rose
slightly on Wednesday after falling during the two previous
sessions as investors positioned for more rate cuts from the
European Central Bank.
Weak European survey data, a downbeat German business morale
report, and a fall in U.S. consumer confidence have added
momentum to bets that the ECB could lower rates again in
October, after two previous 25 basis point cuts this year.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, rose 3 bps to 2.163% after falling 9 bps
across the previous two sessions. Yields move inversely to
prices.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to European Central Bank rate expectations, was up 2 bps at
2.113%, after falling 16 bps across Monday and Tuesday.
Money market pricing showed traders pricing in a roughly 55%
chance of an ECB interest rate cut in October, up from around
15% at the start of the week. The ECB cut rates in June and
earlier this month.
"We still see a lower chance of a cut for the 17 October
meeting since it effectively holds little new data on top of
what the European Central Bank will have known in September,"
said Benjamin Schroeder, senior rates strategist at ING.
"European rates may be getting too far ahead of themselves
and are being dragged down excessively by U.S. markets," he
said.
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 bps last week.
Investors have been keeping a close eye on French yields,
which yesterday rose above Spain's for the first time since 2008
due to concerns about the new government's ability to tackle the
budget deficit.
The gap between French and German 10-year yields
fell 2 bps to 75 bps. It shot to its highest level
since 2012 above 85 bps during France's parliamentary elections.
Data on Wednesday showed French consumer confidence picked
up this month while an ECB survey suggested wage pressures were
easing across the euro zone.
Italy's 10-year yield rose 2 bps to 3.498%, and
the gap between Italian and German yields stood at
132 bps.