(Updates throughout, refreshes prices at 1607 GMT)
By Alun John and Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields rose to
multi-week highs on Thursday, and were set for their biggest
monthly rise in six months as traders processed a series of
developments around the world, each largely pointing to a slower
pace of central bank rate cuts.
UK bonds came under fire, adding to the negative tone across
the global debt markets, as investors assessed the impact of
finance minister Rachel Reeves' "tax-and-spend" budget on the
outlook for growth, government borrowing and interest rates.
German 10-year yields rose as much as 7.2 basis points to
2.447%, their highest since late July. Bunds were last yielding
2.392%, up 1.8 bps on the day, having risen 26 bps
in October, the largest monthly increase since April.
The rise is largely in line with those elsewhere, with the
benchmark 10-year Treasury yield up 47 bps this month, which
also would be its biggest increase in six months.
German two-year yields were up 3.1 bps at 2.314%, around
their highest since late May.
"The big looming events are definitely the U.S. elections
and we've got big U.S. payroll numbers Friday, but leading into
those, the economic data is holding up quite well with upside
surprises in the euro zone and the U.S.," said Michiel Tukker,
senior European rates strategist at ING.
The euro zone economy grew 0.4% in the third quarter
compared to the previous month, faster than expected albeit
still fragile, Wednesday data showed.
In addition, numbers on Thursday showed euro zone inflation
accelerated more than expected in October and could still pick
up further in the coming months.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Friday could drive the next big
move in Treasury yields as investors assess how much U.S. rates
may need to fall over the coming months - a theme present in the
UK markets too.
"In the UK you have yields going up, as, after the budget,
markets reconsider whether the terminal rate for the BoE needs
to be higher, and the conclusion of it all is that central banks
don't need to cut as much," Tukker said.
Markets now see fewer than four UK rate cuts by December
2025, pushing the 10 year gilt yield to its highest in a year.
Also in the mix is the U.S election, and while opinion polls
are too close to call a winner, investors have been putting on
trades betting Republican candidate Donald Trump could be
president again, including bets that Treasury yields will rise.
The impact of the election on euro zone bonds is less clear
as while they have moved in line with U.S. peers in recent
years, tariffs on Europe under a second Trump presidency could
push the European Central Bank to cut rates more quickly, Tukker
said.
Markets are fully pricing a 25 bps ECB cut in December,
though have recently reduced expectations it might go for a
larger 50 bps move.
Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan maintained ultra low interest
rates as expected, but stressed its resolve to keep hiking
borrowing costs if the economy sustains a moderate recovery.
Italy's 10-year yield was last up 3.7 bps at 3.66%, also its
highest since early September, leaving the spread between
Italian and German yields at 125 bps.