* Euro zone bonds fall; set for second weekly drop
* Traders bet on ECB rate hikes
* Tehran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz shut
(Updates prices, adds FT report)
By Niket Nishant
LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bonds
were on track on Friday for their second consecutive weekly
decline, as lingering concerns over the inflationary impact of
the Middle East war pushed yields higher.
The surge in oil prices since the outbreak of the
U.S.-Israeli war with Iran could exacerbate inflation worries
and prompt the European Central Bank to raise interest rates,
according to analysts.
Oil prices climbed again on Friday in choppy trading as
investors reacted to headlines about oil flows through the key
Strait of Hormuz.
France and Italy have opened talks with Iran seeking to
negotiate a deal to guarantee safe passage for their ships
through the Strait, the Financial Times reported on Friday,
although Italy denied the report.
Money markets are pricing in a more than 60% chance of an
ECB rate hike by June, according to LSEG data. Before the war
started they saw a small chance of a cut this year.
"Policymakers were clinging on to any economic figures to
give them an excuse to cut rates, but that conversation has now
shifted," said Roy Kashi, CEO of investment advisory firm
Falconedge.
Germany's 10-year government bond yield rose 3
basis points (bps) on the day to 2.9723% as prices fell. It was
on course for a weekly jump of 11 bps, following a 21 bps rise
last week.
Italy's 10-year government bond yield climbed 5
bps to 3.7876%. It was up 15 bps for the week after jumping 36
bps last week.
The safe-haven appeal of government bonds has been called
into question during the current market volatility as investors
have largely looked past them due to inflation worries.
The conflict also shows little sign of easing, dashing
earlier hopes of a quick resolution. Iran's Supreme Leader
Mojtaba Khamenei said Tehran will keep the Strait of Hormuz shut
as leverage against the U.S. and Israel, defying threats from
President Donald Trump.
Brent crude futures headed for a weekly jump of
nearly 10% despite efforts to ease the energy supply shock. It
was up 1% to $101.20 a barrel on Friday.
Traders on Polymarket are pricing in around a 20% chance of
a ceasefire by the end of the month, compared with 45% earlier
this week.