Sept 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone yields edged lower on
Tuesday ahead of inflation data from Germany, France and Italy,
which analysts see as unlikely to alter expectations that the
European Central Bank will keep interest rates near current
levels through early 2027.
U.S. Treasuries have taken the lead recently as the euro
area's fixed income markets struggled for direction.
Germany's 10-year Bund yield, the bloc's benchmark, was down
0.5 basis points (bps) at 2.70%.
German import prices decreased by 1.5% year-on-year in
August, the statistics office said on Tuesday.
U.S. Treasuries were roughly unchanged in early London trade
with the 10-year yield flat at 4.14%, after dropping
on Monday as investors adjusted for the risk of a U.S.
government shutdown later this week.
Traders priced in an about 35% chance of a 25 bps ECB rate
cut by July 2026. The key rate is seen at
1.98% in February 2027 from the current 2%.
Germany's 2-year yield, more sensitive to
expectations for European Central Bank policy rates, dropped 0.5
bps to 2.02%.
The yield gap between safe-haven Bunds and 10-year French
government bonds - a market gauge of the risk
premium investors demand to hold French debt - was at 82 bps.
New French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said he aimed
for a budget deficit of around 4.7% of GDP in 2026, not much
changed from previous prime minister Francois Bayrou's target of
4.6%, from a forecast 5.4% this year.
(reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; editing by Ros Russell)