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Euro zone government bond yields edge down before inflation data
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Euro zone government bond yields edge down before inflation data
Sep 29, 2025 11:55 PM

Sept 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone yields edged lower on

Tuesday ahead of inflation data from Germany, France and Italy,

which analysts see as unlikely to alter expectations that the

European Central Bank will keep interest rates near current

levels through early 2027.

U.S. Treasuries have taken the lead recently as the euro

area's fixed income markets struggled for direction.

Germany's 10-year Bund yield, the bloc's benchmark, was down

0.5 basis points (bps) at 2.70%.

German import prices decreased by 1.5% year-on-year in

August, the statistics office said on Tuesday.

U.S. Treasuries were roughly unchanged in early London trade

with the 10-year yield flat at 4.14%, after dropping

on Monday as investors adjusted for the risk of a U.S.

government shutdown later this week.

Traders priced in an about 35% chance of a 25 bps ECB rate

cut by July 2026. The key rate is seen at

1.98% in February 2027 from the current 2%.

Germany's 2-year yield, more sensitive to

expectations for European Central Bank policy rates, dropped 0.5

bps to 2.02%.

The yield gap between safe-haven Bunds and 10-year French

government bonds - a market gauge of the risk

premium investors demand to hold French debt - was at 82 bps.

New French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said he aimed

for a budget deficit of around 4.7% of GDP in 2026, not much

changed from previous prime minister Francois Bayrou's target of

4.6%, from a forecast 5.4% this year.

(reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; editing by Ros Russell)

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