Oct 21 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged higher on Monday after dropping late last week as markets
increased their bets on the European Central Bank monetary
easing path.
Investors are looking ahead to key economic data, including
euro area PMI on Thursday and the German business climate index
on Friday.
Analysts argued right after the ECB policy meeting on
Thursday that comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde
sounded like an implicit downgrade of economic projections.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to ECB rate expectations, was flat at 2.10%.
Money markets priced an ECB deposit facility rate at just
below 2% in June 2025. They also fully
discounted a 25 bps rate cut in December
and around a 30% chance of a 50 bps move, from just fully
pricing a 25 bps cut on Thursday before the ECB meeting.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, rose 0.5 bps to 2.19%.
The gap between French and German 10-year yields
- a gauge of the risk premium investors demand to
hold France's government bonds - was last at 71.50 bps, from
around 75 bps seen before Prime Minister Michel Barnier
presented the budget bill for 2025.
The French National Assembly will start discussing the
budget on Monday.
Italy's 10-year yield was one bp higher at
3.37%, and the gap between Italian and German yields
held steady at 116.50 bps, after hitting 116, its
lowest level since March.