(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Stefano Rebaudo
April 24 (Reuters) - Euro zone short-dated government
bond yields were set for their biggest weekly rise in more than
a month as tensions over the Strait of Hormuz spurred energy
prices higher, stoking inflation fears and European Central Bank
rate hike expectations.
Friday's news flow offered some support to bonds, with Iran's
Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi expected in Islamabad, venue for
past peace talks with the United States, raising hope that
negotiations could resume.
But the collapse of the talks earlier in the week, and the
Strait of Hormuz remaining broadly closed left Brent crude
futures at about $105 a barrel, well up on the week, and markets
pricing at least two European Central Bank rate hikes this year,
and around a 40% chance of a third.
Last week, optimism about a negotiated end to the conflict
meant markets were not fully pricing two ECB rate hikes.
Germany's two-year yields, sensitive to
expectations for monetary policy rates, were little changed on
Friday at 2.56% but set for a weekly increase of 13 bps, their
most since mid-March.
The euro zone benchmark, the 10-year German yield, was also
flat on the day at 3.01%.
Both had been trading higher earlier in the day, but dipped as
markets saw some signs of optimism about the weekend talks, a
move that extended further after U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro
said the Justice Department is closing its investigation into
cost overruns in renovations at the Federal Reserve under
Chairman Jerome Powell.
The decision removes an obstacle to the confirmation of
Kevin Warsh, President Donald Trump's pick to lead the central
bank.
The ECB meets next week, and while it is expected to keep rates
on hold, it is widely expected to place a stronger emphasis on
bringing inflation under control, even if doing so comes at the
expense of short-term economic growth.
Underscoring their dilemma, data on Friday showed German
business morale fell more than expected in April, as the
U.S.-Israeli war with Iran made companies more pessimistic and
threatened the long-awaited recovery of Europe's biggest
economy.
"The war in the Middle East and soaring energy prices have
again exposed the fact that Germany is one of Europe's largest
net importers of energy," said Carsten Brzeski, global head of
macro at ING.
"With the war in the Middle East now gradually shifting from
a pure energy price shock towards an energy supply and broader
supply chain shock, the German economy is once again at the
centre of an exogenous, global, disruption."
Other euro zone yields were largely moving in line with
Germany's on Friday.
Italy's 10-year government bond yields IT10YT=RR rose 1 basis
point to 3.81%. The yield gap of Italian government bonds versus
Bunds DE10IT10=RR was at 76 bps, having earlier hit 78 bps, its
highest level since April 8, the day after the U.S.-Iran
ceasefire announcement.
(Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; additional reporting by Alun
John; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)