LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bonds
eased on Friday as investor wariness over renewed clashes
between the U.S. and Iran sent oil prices higher, although moves
were muted compared to volatile sessions earlier this week.
Benchmark 10-year German bund yields rose 2 basis points to
3.0187% in early trade.
Two-year Schatz yields rose 3 bps to 2.6024%, a
second day of rises having staged their biggest daily fall in a
month on Wednesday.
Brent oil prices - a main driver for broader financial
markets since the war started in late February - rose 0.6% to
$100.62 a barrel on Friday, also a modest swing compared to more
volatile sessions earlier this week.
UK gilts were in focus after British Prime Minister Keir
Starmer's Labour Party suffered heavy early losses in local
elections on Friday.
But UK 10-year gilts were largely unchanged at
4.948%, underperforming other major European rates.
"The bad result for Labour, I think, is priced in," said
Kallum Pickering, chief economist and deputy head of research at
Peel Hunt.
Bond investors meanwhile remain focused on inflation risk
amid higher energy prices, though major central banks including
the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England
opted to keep interest rates on hold last week.
"I think markets are priced too much towards interest rate
hikes and not enough towards central banks trying to hold
through this and then cut in Q4," said Peel Hunt's Pickering.
"There's much too much muscle memory from 2022 when the Russian
invasion of Ukraine caused the gas price to go up," Pickering
said, adding that the main risk is to output and employment.
ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel - one of the bank's
top policymakers - warned on Thursday of the rising risk of
higher inflation in the wake of the Iran war and of the "quiet
erosion" of central bank independence at a difficult moment of
rising global debt.
Money markets show traders are attaching roughly a 57%
chance of no change at the ECB's next meeting in June, reversing
from last week when the majority were betting on a hike.
On Friday, German exports rose unexpectedly in March but
industrial output fell despite a forecast rise, official data
showed.