(Updates pricing after European morning, adds quote, additional
context)
By Sophie Kiderlin
LONDON, April 29 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields
traded around multi-week highs on Wednesday as efforts to end
the Iran war appeared to be in a stalemate and oil prices nudged
higher again, prompting persistent inflation worries.
German 10-year bond yields, the benchmark for the
euro zone, were last 1.3 basis points higher at 3.0738%. They
hit a two-week high of 3.0860% in the previous session.
The rate-sensitive German 2-year bond yield meanwhile
was 4.4 bps higher at 2.6825%, trading around levels last seen
on April 7.
Bonds have come under renewed pressure in recent sessions, with
yields steadily ticking higher, as efforts to end the war in the
Middle East seem to be at an impasse. U.S. President Donald
Trump on Wednesday urged Iran to 'get smart soon' and sign a
deal.
Meanwhile, oil prices have been grinding higher as the crucial
Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shut. Brent crude futures
for June rose for the eighth day in a row on Wednesday
and were last up around 2.8% at $114.4 a barrel.
Higher energy prices have fed into inflation fears, which were
underscored Tuesday by an ECB survey which showed inflation
expectations for one year ahead had jumped to 4.0% in March from
2.5% a month earlier. On Wednesday, data showed that euro zone
economic sentiment plunged to a three-and-a-half-year low this
month.
Preliminary inflation data for April due this week from
across the euro zone will provide insights into the economic
impact of the war so far. In March, euro zone inflation jumped
to 2.6%, and according to a Reuters poll of economists, the
figure will likely have increased again in April.
The euro zone-wide data will be published not long before the
European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision on
Thursday. Preliminary data out of Germany is meanwhile due
Wednesday. Earlier in the day, preliminary figures showed that
inflation rose in three key German states in April, suggesting
the national rate may have also increased.
While the ECB is broadly expected to leave interest rates
unchanged this month, money markets were last pricing in roughly
three rate hikes from the central bank by the end of the year.
After Thursday's meeting, "we will wait until the next
meeting in June. Obviously, the main factor will be how the war
in Iran develops, how energy prices will develop. I think the
ECB wants to collect more data. They will also have new
forecasts in June. If they want to hike, that would be the
date," Felix Schmidt, senior economist at Berenberg, said.
Investors will also be watching closely for any comments
from policymakers about the impact of the Iran war on the
economy and monetary policy.