(Updates with morning European trading)
By Alun John
LONDON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields edged
lower on Wednesday, with French bonds outperforming marginally
on the possibility that the country's parliament may agree a
budget by the end of the year.
The mood was much calmer than earlier in the week when
developments in French and Japanese politics sent yields higher
worldwide, but with bond markets having been under pressure for
much of the year the calm is unlikely to last.
The main news of the European morning was caretaker French
Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu striking a cautiously
optimistic tone and saying that a deal could potentially be
reached on the country's budget by year-end, making the
possibility of a snap election less likely.
That helped send the yield on France's 10-year bond lower,
and it was last down 5 basis points on the day at 3.52%. It had
traded close to 3.6% on Monday and Tuesday after the resignation
of Lecornu, France's fifth prime minister in less than two
years.
Germany's 10-year yield was down 3 bps at 2.68%,
leaving the gap between French and German yields at 83 bps down
from nearly 88 bps on Monday.
The gap, the premium investors require to lend to France
rather than Germany, remains elevated and is among the highest
in the euro zone.
And analysts were wary of getting too excited about
Wednesday's move in French yields.
"I suspect there is some short covering going on but it
doesn't really change the context," said Kenneth Broux, head of
corporate research FX and rates at Societe Generale, pointing to
France's large deficit.
"The risk premium in OATs (French government bonds) may be
here to stay for a while."
Lecornu is due to speak again later in the day, though the
leader of France's Socialist Party said they could not back the
government's budget plan as it currently stands.
France aside, there was little else for euro zone bond
investors to process.
Data showed German industrial output fell much more than
expected in August due to a sharp decrease in production in the
car industry. But with the European Central Bank seemingly
firmly on hold for now, it would take a lot more bad economic
news to raise bets on a further rate cut this year.
Germany's rate-sensitive two-year yield dipped 1 basis point
to 1.99%.
Earlier in the day, Japanese government bonds were also
calmer following a tumultuous few days as speculation swirled
about the course of the country's fiscal policy.
Still to come on Wednesday is the release of minutes of the
latest meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate setting
committee. It would not typically be market moving, though due
to the U.S. shutdown causing an absence of major economic data,
the minutes could take on greater significance.