Sept 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
rose on Monday after economic data led investors to slightly
scale back their bets on future European Central Bank monetary
easing moves.
Inflation eased across a raft of key German states in
September, preliminary data showed on Monday.
Germany will release national data later in the session, a
day before euro zone figures.
Data showed the Italy consumer price increase slowed to 0.8%
year-on-year in September.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, rose 3.5 basis points (bps) to 2.17%; it was
down 0.5 bps before the German figures.
"The German data suggest that any decline in services
inflation, which the ECB has been paying particular attention
to, could be small and mainly driven by the reversal of the
boost from the Paris Olympics," said Franziska Palmas, senior
Europe economist at Capital Economics.
Palmas reckoned that the German state data and figures for
France and Spain suggest that euro-zone headline inflation will
drop to 1.7% from 2.2%.
Data showed on Friday that French and Spanish consumer
prices rose less than anticipated in September, leading
investors to increase their bets on future ECB rate cuts.
Figures from the euro area are due on Tuesday.
Markets priced in 49 bps of rate cuts by the European
Central Bank by year-end from around 53 bps
before data.
"With no significant dovish signals from data, markets are
inclined to slightly reduce their bets on future ECB rate cuts
after recent big moves," said Massimiliano Maxia, fixed income
specialist at Allianz Global Investors.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is sensitive
to ECB rate expectations, was up 3.5 bps at 2.12%. It hit 2.046%
earlier in the session, its lowest level since December 2022.
The gap between Austrian and German 10-year yields
- a gauge of the risk premium investors demand to
hold Austria's government bonds - was roughly unchanged at 49
bps after the far-right won the parliamentary elections.
The Eurosceptic, Russia-friendly Freedom Party (FPO) gained
28.8% of the vote, but leaders of Austrian political parties
united to reject the idea of forming a coalition with FPO.
The gap between French and German 10-year yields
was at 79 bps. It reached its widest since 2012,
beyond 85 bps during France's parliamentary elections.
France's new Prime Minister Michel Barnier is considering a
temporary increase in corporate tax as part of efforts to plug a
gaping hole in public finances, Le Monde newspaper reported.
Italy's 10-year yield rose 5 bps to 3.51%, and
the gap between Italian and German yields widened
to 133 bps.
(Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; Editing by Muralikumar
Anantharaman)