(Updates at 1115 GMT)
By Alun John
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields ticked higher on Tuesday after data showed inflation in
the bloc steadied in March and the economy rebounded in the
first quarter, not disrupting market bets on a June rate cut,
but leaving the future path open.
The German 10-year bond yield, the benchmark
for the euro zone bloc, was up nearly 4 basis points at 2.56%.
It hit a five-month high of 2.65% last Thursday, but has
since been falling, helped somewhat by initial inflation data
from Germany and Spain on Monday.
In the euro zone,
inflation steadied at 2.4% in April
, Tuesday flash data showed. An important indicator of
underlying price pressures slowed, though closely watched
services inflation was 3.7%, a decline, but possibly still too
high for comfort.
Meanwhile, gross domestic product in the 20-country bloc
increased by an above-expectations 0.3% quarter-on-quarter.
"The key point from the data is the ECB can cut in June
- the bar not to is very high - the question is do they then cut
in July," said Andrzej Szczepaniak, senior European economist at
Nomura.
Government bonds remain highly sensitive to changes in
expectations for central bank interest rates. Market pricing
currently indicates a roughly 70% chance of a 25-basis-point
European Central Bank cut in June, and two or three cuts in
total this year.
Investors will also be watching the Federal Reserve,
which begins its two-day meeting on Tuesday - no rate change is
expected but chair Jerome Powell's Wednesday post-meeting press
conference will be watched closely given sticky U.S. inflation
and strong growth.
Important U.S jobs data is due on Friday.
"The new narrative is what happens if we see what we're
now seeing in the U.S. in the euro zone in a few months' time.
Growth is expected to pick up and should services inflationary
pressure remain sticky for longer, that causes problems for the
ECB even if they begin cutting in June," said Szczepaniak.
Italy's 10-year yield was higher by 3.2 bps at
3.85%, and the gap between Italian and German bunds
widened 1 bp to 128 bps.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was up 3
bps at 2.99%.