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Fed Chair Powell due to speak at Jackson Hole on Friday
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Money markets price in quarter-point Fed rate cut
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Anticipate ECB will hold rates steady
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Spread between French and Italian 10-year yield narrows
(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Joice Alves
LONDON, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond
yields dropped on Wednesday, moving away from this week's
multi-month high, as traders positioned ahead of a gathering of
global central bankers later in the week.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the euro zone
benchmark, was down 4 basis points at 2.71%, after hitting a
4-1/2 month high of 2.787% on Monday.
Longer-dated yields have been moving higher in Europe, and
around the world, but the selloff paused for breath on
Wednesday, as the euro zone saw some spillover from a more than
6 bps fall in Britain's 10-year yield after UK inflation data
that, while high, was insufficient to push already elevated
British yields higher.
Germany's two-year yield fell 3 bps to 2.71%.
Investors were also preparing ahead of the annual symposium
of global central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, and after
talks in Washington on ending Russia's war in Ukraine.
The focus of the event will be on what Federal Reserve Chair
Jerome Powell will say on Friday about the near-term outlook for
rates.
"We have (seen) this very large move higher in yields, and I
think everyone is sort of now waiting and looking for what
Powell will say in Jackson Hole," said Evelyne Gomez-Liechti,
multi-asset strategist, at Mizuho International.
She expected Powell to continue to stress the wait-and-see
mode as jobless claims in the U.S. were stable and unemployment
has risen only moderately, while service inflation has picked
up.
"I do think that Powell will sound a bit more patient and a
bit more hawkish versus what other Fed members have been
talking," she said.
The importance of the U.S. economy means changes in Fed rate
expectations often influence other bond markets.
Money markets are almost fully pricing in a quarter-point
rate cut at the Fed's September 16-17 meeting. The Fed policy
rate has been in the 4.25%-4.50% range since December.
In the meantime, futures point to the European Central Bank
holding interest rates at 2% at its September meeting.
FRANCE'S POLITICAL STORY
The spread between Italy's 10-year bond yield and its French
equivalent was also in focus. It has narrowed to levels last
seen two decades ago as France faces political instability and
heads to discuss its budget. The spread was last at around 13.5
bps.
"For me, France is a political story," Gomez-Liechti said.
"Prime Minister [François] Bayrou is very ambitious in his wish
to consolidate, fiscally speaking. But I think his ideas are not
going to go down very well with either the left or the right. So
I think there is risk of some sort of no confidence motion
coming through."
France's 10-year yield was down 3 bps at 3.41%,
having hit a four-month high of 3.468% on Monday.
Markets were largely unmoved by Germany's mixed response to
its auction of a total of 1.896 billion euros ($2.21 billion) in
30-year bonds.
Italy's 10-year bond yield was 3 bps lower at
3.55%, keeping the spread between Italian and German 10-year
yields at 83 bps.