* Oil swings near six-week highs on renewed Gulf woes
* Bond yields elevated as inflation concerns mount
* Rate-hike bets intact as price pressures loom
By Jiaxing Li
HONG KONG, July 21 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near
a one-week high on Tuesday, with markets torn between
conflicting Middle East signals, as hostilities in the region
stoked renewed fears over energy supplies while hopes for a
ceasefire offered some relief.
Against the yen, the dollar was largely flat at 162.49 yen. The
euro was little changed at $1.1417, while the British pound was
roughly 0.1% firmer at $1.3441 after Britain's new Prime
Minister Andy Burnham vowed to stick to fiscal rules.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the currency against a
basket of six peers, was steady at 100.93, after touching its
highest level since July 15 in previous session.
Markets remained hostage to Middle East tensions, with oil
prices seeing a sharp swing to near six-week highs before
retreating. Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis declared a naval
blockade on Saudi Arabia, raising threats to global energy
supplies, while hopes of de-escalation persisted after Tehran
received a 10-day ceasefire proposal from mediators.
"There is the hope for easing in a little bit of tensions
and we'll hit a pause button at some stage. It's all still very
volatile," Rodrigo Catril, senior currency strategist at
National Australia Bank, said in a podcast.
"We have to wait and see how it develops. We need to see
whether this escalates."
INFLATION RISKS LOOM LARGE
U.S. Treasury yields crept back up as traders weighed whether a
renewed jump in oil prices, driven by the widening war with
Iran, would eventually feed through to consumer prices.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield remained elevated at
4.5938%, while yields on 30-year Treasuries were firmly above
the 5% mark.
Recent reports on U.S. inflation and labor market conditions
have caused markets to sharply curb expectations for a Federal
Reserve rate hike next week, with the implied probability now at
just 17%. However, chances of a hike at the September meeting
have risen to 63%, according to CME FedWatch.
A European Central Bank survey showed on Monday that euro zone
firms expect selling prices to rise more moderately. The ECB is
expected to keep rates unchanged this week but high oil prices
are fuelling bets for another hike in the 2.25% deposit rate in
September.
Japan's benchmark bond yields also rose sharply on Tuesday as
war-linked inflation pressures mount, with investors now looking
ahead to the Bank of Japan's meeting next week to see if there
will be any suggestion of an acceleration in the pace of rate
hikes.
"The combination of higher crude and refined product prices,
if sustained, will add to pressure on goods inflation and create
the risk of larger policy rate increases than we already
forecast," analysts at Eastspring Investments said in a note.
The New Zealand dollar was 0.4% stronger at $0.5864, hitting its
highest level since early June, after strong inflation data
reinforced expectations of further rate hikes. The Australian
dollar was a touch stronger at $0.7001.
Elsewhere, the Canadian dollar steadied after dropping
to a one-month low, after the United States imposed a new tariff
of 50% on a wide range of Canadian products in response to what
it called Ottawa's "discriminatory treatment".
(Reporting by Jiaxing Li in Hong Kong; Editing by Shri
Navaratnam and Lincoln Feast.)