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FOREX-Currencies consolidate as dollar steadies, euro hangs near one-month low
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FOREX-Currencies consolidate as dollar steadies, euro hangs near one-month low
Jun 16, 2024 10:54 PM

(Updates with new comments in paragraph 19-20, current levels

as of 0515 GMT)

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, June 17 (Reuters) - The dollar was firm on Monday

as the euro hovered near a more than one-month low amid

political turmoil in Europe, while investors awaited fresh clues

on the strength of the U.S. economy.

Investors have been contemplating the risk of a budget

crisis at the heart of the euro area, as far right and leftist

parties gain momentum ahead of France's surprise parliamentary

election, pressuring President Emmanuel Macron's centrist

administration.

Even after the French financial markets endured a brutal

sell-off late last week, European Central Bank policymakers have

no plans to discuss emergency purchases of French bonds, five

sources told Reuters.

The euro inched down 0.04% to $1.07025, after

falling to its lowest since May 1 at $1.06678 on Friday. The

currency also logged its biggest weekly decline since April at

0.88% last week.

Although the political turmoil is a euro-bearish story, "as

the euro accounts for around 57% of the US dollar index

weighting, the fall of the euro has indirectly benefited the

dollar," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback

against a basket of peer currencies, was unchanged at 105.54,

after touching its highest since May 2 at 105.80 on Friday.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said on

Sunday it was a "reasonable prediction" that the U.S. central

bank would cut interest rates once this year, waiting until

December to do it.

The Fed published updated projections last week that showed

the median forecast from all 19 U.S. central bankers was for a

single interest rate cut this year.

This week is light on major U.S. economic data to help

clarify the Fed's outlook, although U.S. retail sales on Tuesday

and flash PMIs on Friday may give hints about consumption and

economic strength.

"Data would likely have to miss estimates by a wide margin

to rekindle bets of more Fed cuts, with the FOMC meeting still

freshly in the minds of investors," said City Index's Simpson.

Sterling held steady at $1.2681. Britain's

inflation pressures still appear too hot for the Bank of England

to cut rates at its June 20 meeting, with a majority of

economists polled by Reuters forecasting the first cut would not

come until Aug. 1.

Elsewhere, the yuan was flat at 7.2557 per dollar

after domestic data showed a mixed economic picture in China.

The offshore Chinese yuan held around 7.2694.

New home prices fell at the fastest pace in more than 9-1/2

years in May as the property sector struggles to find a bottom,

while May industrial output came in below forecasts.

Retail sales were better than expected.

China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as

expected on Monday as the weak yuan continued to hamper policy

easing.

The yen remained pinned near a 34-year low against the

dollar after the Bank of Japan on Friday pushed cuts to bond

buying amounts and details of its tapering plan to its July

policy meeting.

Governor Kazuo Ueda said he would not rule out raising

interest rates in July as weakness in the yen pushes up import

costs, although that may not be the hawkish statement that some

took it to be, said Hiroyuki Machida, director of Japan FX and

commodities sales at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group.

"The sense was that raising rates and tapering are two

separate things" that the BOJ will decide whether or not to do

based on different criteria, he said.

The yen steadied at 157.45, after slipping to

158.26 after Friday's decision, its lowest since April 29.

The yen's decline to 160.245 per dollar at the end of April

triggered several rounds of official Japanese intervention

totaling 9.79 trillion yen.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin last rose 1.1% to

$66,454.38.

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