HONG KONG, March 17 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar drifted
on Tuesday as traders weighed developments in the Iran war,
while the Australian dollar eased slightly ahead of an expected
rate hike from the country's central bank later in the day.
The euro was 0.12% lower at $1.1492 in Asian trading,
while sterling was also down 0.1% at $1.33, pulling back
the sharp gains from the previous session. The dollar index
was little changed at 99.913.
Sentiment turned jittery again after several American allies
rebuffed U.S. President Donald Trump's request to send warships
to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, casting
fresh doubts on hopes that energy exports can begin to normalize
soon.
Surging oil prices due to the U.S. and Israel's war on Iran
have made investors more worried about inflation, triggering a
sharp repricing of rates outlooks across the globe. That has
lifted the U.S. dollar against most currencies.
Attention now shifts to the Reserve Bank of Australia
meeting later in the Asia-Pacific session, with markets now
pricing in a roughly 78% chance of a 25-basis-point hike.
The Australian dollar fetched $0.706, down 0.16%,
while the New Zealand dollar was down 0.24% at $0.5848.
"The policy response to the crisis will begin to crystallise
in the coming days" with market pricing shifting to reflect
either imminent hikes or at least less easing than what was
expected prior to the crisis, said Kyle Rodda, a senior analyst
at capital.com.
Policy uncertainty has risen too and there will likely be
division among central bankers about whether policy should react
to the supply shock or look past it, he added.
The RBA meeting kicks off a series of central bank conclaves
this week that investors will parse to gauge policymakers' views
on the war's impact on inflation and growth.
The Japanese yen weakened to 159.35 per dollar, just
shy of the crucial 160 level, despite verbal warnings from
Japanese authorities on Tuesday. Analysts expect the bar for an
intervention to be higher because of rising oil prices.
The yen is down more than 2% against the dollar since the
war broke out at the end of February.
"While the sharp rise in the oil price is helping drive a
bid for USDs, the yen is coming under pressure simply because
high oil prices and Japan's heavy reliance on energy imports
risks stoking inflation and a significant deterioration in its
trade balance," said Prashant Newnaha, senior rates strategist
at TD Securities.
"At some point authorities will need to determine whether to
protect the yen or the bond market. They can't have both."