LONDON/SINGAPORE, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar
and Mexican peso slumped on Tuesday after President-elect Donald
Trump said he would impose tariffs on products from Canada,
Mexico and China, sparking volatility as investors braced for
trade spats.
In an initial knee-jerk reaction to Trump's comments, the
dollar jumped more than 2% against the peso but was last
up 0.95% after the moves moderated.
The dollar hit a 4-1/2-year high against its Canadian
counterpart, rising more than 1.5%, and was last up
0.78% at C$1.4095. The U.S. currency also rose to its highest
since July 30 against China's yuan .
The greenback had spent the previous couple of days on the back
foot as U.S. Treasury markets cheered Trump's pick of hedge fund
manager Scott Bessent as U.S. Treasury Secretary, causing
government bonds to rally and yields to fall, weighing on the
currency.
Yet Trump halted that momentum when he said that on his
first day in office, he would impose a 25% tariff on all
products from Mexico and Canada.
On China, the president-elect said Beijing was not taking
strong enough action to curb the export of ingredients used in
illicit drugs, floating "an additional 10% tariff, above any
additional tariffs, on all of their many products coming into
the United States of America".
"I think we had a perfect example last night of why
volatility is more likely under Trump," said Jane Foley, head of
FX strategy at Rabobank.
"He can just put out a comment like that outside of usual
U.S. market hours that takes people by surprise. It leaves
investors, everybody scrambling to work out what this really
means."
Currencies bounced around as markets digested Trump's
comments, with the euro falling around 0.3% before
rebounding to trade the same amount higher at $1.0526.
The Japanese yen rallied as U.S. traders came in
for the day, with the dollar last down 0.65% at 153.15 yen.
Erik Nelson, macro strategist at Wells Fargo, said some
investors may have been buying the euro to close their previous
bets against the euro-Canadian dollar currency pair, which some
had seen as a "Trump trade" in the belief Europe would be hit
harder by tariffs than Canada.
The rally in the yen puzzled analysts although Neil Jones,
managing director for FX sales and trading at TJM Europe, said
some investors were likely rebalancing their portfolios before
the end of the month, which could accentuate moves.
Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at Legal And
General Investment Management, said investors have so far
focused on market-positive Trump policies like tax cuts and
deregulation, but that it is arguably quicker for him to
implement more challenging policies such as higher tariffs.
"This announcement serves as a wake up call," he said.
"Tariffs should be good for the U.S. dollar and bad for
currencies that are being tariffed as trade balances shift, but
I'm not sure Trump's government will be happy to let that trade
accelerate."
The Australian dollar sank to a more than
three-month low of $0.6434 in early Asian trading but was last
down just 0.1% at $0.65. The Aussie is often sold as a liquid
proxy for the yuan given China is Australia's biggest trading
partner.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was trading at $92,711,
well below the record high of $99,830 it touched last week.
Bitcoin met profit-taking ahead of the symbolic $100,000
barrier, having climbed more than 40% since the U.S. election on
expectations Trump will loosen the regulatory environment for
cryptocurrencies.