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Dollar index highest since November 2022
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Sterling, euro tumble through technical levels
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Yen pinned near five-month low
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Bets on Trump policies leading to stronger dollar remain
in
place
(Updates to U.S. afternoon trading)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Jan 2 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar jumped to a
two-year high on Thursday in the first day of 2025 trading,
building on last year's strong gains on expectations U.S. growth
will beat peers and keep U.S. interest rates relatively
elevated.
The Federal Reserve has indicated that it will be more
cautious in cutting interest rates as inflation remains
stubbornly above its 2% annual target and the economy remains
strong.
Policies by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump are also
expected to boost growth and potentially add to upward price
pressures.
"In terms of 2025 economic growth, there's no rival to the
dollar," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive
in Toronto.
"Capital flows dominate the turn of the year and the U.S.
stock market has really put to shame every other global market,"
Button added. "The dollar is the only game in town until there
is a genuine stumble in the U.S. economy."
Data on Thursday confirmed a still solid jobs market. The
number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment
benefits dropped to an eight-month low last week, pointing to
low layoffs at the end of 2024.
The dollar index was last up 0.77% on the day at
109.38.
The euro dropped 1.01% to $1.025, its lowest since November
2022.
The single currency accelerated losses after it broke below
the $1.03 level, indicating that technical factors were
deepening the sell-off.
Traders anticipate deep interest rate cuts from the European
Central Bank in 2025, with markets pricing in at least four
25-basis-point cuts, while not being certain of even two such
moves from the Fed.
ECB policymaker Yannis Stournaras said on Thursday he
expected the bank's main interest rate to be cut to 2% by the
autumn, from 3% currently.
Sterling, which held in better than most major currencies
against the greenback last year, fell 1.19% to $1.2368, its
lowest since April. Its fall accelerated after it broke through
resistance around $1.2475.
The dollar gained 0.47% to 157.61 Japanese yen.
It reached a five-month high above 158.09 yen in late
December, potentially putting pressure on the Bank of Japan,
which is expected to raise interest rates early this year, but
perhaps not imminently.
China's yuan languished at 14-month lows as worries about
the health of the world's second-biggest economy, the prospect
of U.S. import tariffs from the Trump administration and sliding
local yields weighed on investor sentiment. CNY/
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin rose 2.77% to
$97,404.93.