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FOREX-Dollar at week high as markets raise doubts over Iran ceasefire
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FOREX-Dollar at week high as markets raise doubts over Iran ceasefire
Apr 21, 2026 5:56 PM

* Warsh says he made "no promises" to Trump over rate

cuts

* U.S. retail sales rise 1.7%, beating estimates

* Yen firms as Japan's exports increase for seventh

straight month

By Gregor Stuart Hunter

TOKYO, April 22 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied in early

Asian trade on Wednesday, as skepticism over U.S. President

Donald Trump's announcement of an indefinite extension of a

ceasefire with Iran lifted demand for the safe-haven currency,

pushing it to a one-week high.

On the policy front, Federal Reserve nominee Kevin Warsh's

comments at a Senate confirmation hearing were interpreted as

slightly hawkish, while strong retail sales data provided an

upbeat view on the strength of the American economy.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's

strength against a basket of six currencies, was steady at

98.415, its highest level since April 13.

"There was a modest risk-off tone overnight amid renewed

uncertainty around U.S.-Iran peace talks," analysts from Westpac

wrote in a research report.

Most other currencies were unchanged after the ceasefire

extension. The euro was steady at $1.1739 and was up 0.1%

at $1.3519. The Australian dollar was little changed at

$0.7152 while the New Zealand dollar held steady at

$0.5894.

Against the yen, the U.S. dollar nudged down 0.1% to

159.26 yen as data earlier showed Japan's exports rose for a

seventh straight month, defying any major impact from

disruptions caused by the Gulf conflict.

The market is troubled by divisions between the hardline

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and more moderate factions

within the Iranian government, said Tony Sycamore, market

analyst at IG in Sydney.

"Make no mistake, this internal power struggle remains the

single biggest obstacle to any lasting deal, and how it resolves

remains to be seen," he said.

Separately, Trump said on Tuesday he will "remember"

companies that do not seek refunds for payments they made on his

tariffs that were deemed illegal by the Supreme Court, although

he did not specify how companies might benefit by abstaining

from the U.S. government's new refund portal.

U.S. retail sales increased 1.7% in March, more than the

expected 1.4% rise as the war with Iran boosted gasoline prices

and led to a record surge in receipts at service stations, while

tax refunds underpinned spending elsewhere.

REGIME CHANGE AT THE FED

In Washington, Warsh said on Tuesday he had made no promises

to Trump about cutting interest rates, as he tried to assure

U.S. senators mulling his confirmation to lead the U.S. central

bank that he would act independently of the White House while

pursuing broad reforms.

"The most interesting points were probably that he

emphasized the Fed's independence and clearly rejected any

request from President Trump to cut rates; taken together, the

overall tone could be described as slightly hawkish," said Junya

Tanase, chief Japan FX strategist at JPMorgan Chase & Co in

Tokyo.

"That said, since OIS pricing barely moved even after

Warsh's remarks, yesterday's rise in U.S. yields and the USD's

strength were likely driven mainly by higher oil prices on

Iran-related news, suggesting Warsh's impact was limited."

Republican Senator Thom Tillis used his time during the

hearing to detail why he would delay the confirmation until the

Trump administration drops an ongoing criminal probe of current

Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was up 0.2% at

$75,894.67, while ether nudged up by the same magnitude

to $2,321.92.

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