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Trump's Truth Social message reassures traders
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Crypto markets unsteady after weekend volatility
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Gold at fresh record highs
(Updates prices, adds comment and context from paragraph 14)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter and Amanda Cooper
SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters) - The dollar clawed
steadily higher on Monday, as investors hoped the U.S. would
temper its latest escalation of the trade war with China after
Friday's selloff, while political developments in France and
Japan undermined the euro and the yen.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency's
performance against a basket of six others, was last up 0.2% at
99.2, recovering from declines late last week after U.S.
President Donald Trump announced 100% tariffs on China.
The broadside revived bad memories of Trump's Liberation Day
rollout of sweeping tariffs in April and sparked a selloff in
stocks and cryptocurrencies on Friday.
TRUMP SOFTENS TONE
"Certainly it's pretty nervous out there," said Tim
Kelleher, head of institutional FX Sales at Commonwealth Bank in
Auckland.
"If you look at the U.S. and China stuff, it looks like
Trump has done a bit of a TACO again and softened his tone," he
added, referring to a trading adage that "Trump always chickens
out."
After announcing the 100% tariffs on Friday, Trump said on
Sunday: "Don't worry about China, it will all be fine!
Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment," he
posted on the Truth Social network. "He doesn't want Depression
for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help
China, not hurt it!!!"
Market liquidity may be affected by holidays as parts of the
U.S. observe Columbus Day/Indigenous Peoples' Day later on
Monday, though stock exchanges remain open. Japan was closed on
Monday to mark Health and Sports Day.
The euro fell 0.3% to $1.1584, shrugging off the
French presidency's announcement of Prime Minister Sebastien
Lecornu's new cabinet lineup on Sunday, reappointing Roland
Lescure, a close ally of Emmanuel Macron, as finance minister.
Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.8% to 152.295 yen.
Markets assessed the path ahead for new Liberal Democratic
Party leader Sanae Takaichi after Komeito quit the ruling
coalition on Friday, dealing a blow to her hopes of becoming the
first female prime minister of the world's fourth-largest
economy.
Cryptocurrency markets fluctuated between gains and losses
after a sharp selloff on Friday, with bitcoin last trading up
0.2% at $115,313. Gold hit a fresh record of $4,079.1 an
ounce and was last up 1.5%.
The offshore yuan recovered some stability to trade at
7.1416 per dollar, having reached a weak point of 7.144
overnight, after data showed China's export growth picked up
pace in September.
POSSIBLE CARRY TRADE IMPACT
Even with sentiment on the up on Monday, analysts said the
mood was fragile and currencies were likely prone to larger
price swings.
"As we saw earlier this year neither side can tolerate such
high tariffs for long and the comments from President Trump over
the weekend again point towards a path for de-escalation," MUFG
strategist Lee Hardman said.
"As a result, the trade threats may just contribute a more
volatile FX market in the near-term and trigger some unwind of
carry trades," he added.
Traders will often borrow in a low-yielding currency to
invest in a higher-yielder, known as a carry trade. The Japanese
yen and Swiss franc have typically been funding currencies and
took a harder knock than others on Monday.
The Australian dollar, which tends to rally in a risk-on
environment, rose 0.75% to $0.6521, making it the
best-performing major currency against the dollar on Monday. The
pound, a fellow risk-on currency, was flat at $1.3327.