*
Euro down 1.9% in July, dollar index set for monthly gain
*
U.S.-China talks constructive but no major breakthroughs
*
Spotlight on Fed and Powell later on Wednesday
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Yen firms after tsunami warning, BOJ due on Thursday
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, July 30 (Reuters) -
The U.S. dollar wobbled near a one-month high on Wednesday
ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, while the euro
was poised to snap its run of six straight monthly gains as
investors
counted
the cost of the
U.S.-EU trade pact
.
The Japanese yen firmed against the dollar
after a powerful earthquake struck off Russia's Far Eastern
Kamchatka Peninsula and generated a tsunami, prompting
evacuation warnings in the area and across most of Japan's east
coast.
Currency markets were mostly steady as investors were
hesitant to place bets before crucial economic reports and
central bank meetings in Canada, Japan and the United States.
U.S. and Chinese officials agreed to seek an extension of
their 90-day tariff truce, following two days of what both sides
described as constructive talks in Stockholm.
No major breakthroughs were announced and U.S. officials
said it was up to President Donald Trump to decide whether to
extend a truce that expires on August 12.
The Sino-U.S. talks come after a framework deal between the
U.S. and EU was announced on Sunday. The accord has evoked a mix
of relief and concern from Europe, as the agreement was lopsided
and skewed towards the United States.
Investors have been keeping an eye on the trade pacts as
countries scramble to get deals over the line before the August
1 deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump.
"Markets seem to be increasingly interpreting trade
agreements as symbolic and tactical rather than structural
resolution," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at
Saxo in Singapore.
"With terms often vague and enforcement mechanisms weak,
investors are assigning lower market beta to these negotiations
unless backed by concrete detail."
The euro firmed a bit to $1.1555 after dropping
for the first two days of the week and hitting a one-month low
of $1.15185 on Tuesday. The euro is up 11.7% since the start of
the year but on course for its first monthly drop this year.
The single currency has benefited this year from the dollar
losing its lustre due to Trump's erratic trade policies,
prompting investors to look for alternatives.
Sterling was at $1.3355. The Australian dollar
last bought $0.6514, steady on the day, after a set of
surprisingly soft inflation figures that only cemented
expectations for an interest-rate cut next month.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six others, was at 98.823, hovering near a one-month
high and on course to post its first month of gains this year.
Investor focus will now switch to central bank meetings,
with the Fed widely expected to stand pat on rates later on
Wednesday, making comments from Chair Jerome Powell crucial to
gauge the policy path.
The meeting comes in the wake of Trump's constant demands
for rate cuts, which have coincided with an unrelenting campaign
of attacks on Powell by the president and administration
officials.
There is speculation that Governor Christopher Waller and
Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman could issue dissents
if the Fed on Wednesday holds the policy rate steady for the
fifth time since December. Both were appointed by Trump as was
Powell.
"While dissenting isn't uncommon, the dissents at this
week's meeting may get more focus because Trump has made it
crystal clear that he thinks the FOMC should be lowering
interest rates," said Kristina Clifton, a senior economist at
the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.
"Dissents at this meeting may be judged as political and put
a dent in perceptions of the FOMC's independence."
The BOJ is also expected to stand pat and the spotlight will
be on comments from Governor Kazuo Ueda as investors hope the
recent trade deal between Japan and the U.S. paves the way for
the central bank to raise interest rates again this year.
The yen firmed 0.4% to 147.85 per dollar and was last at
148.06 after news broke about the Pacific earthquake and
tsunami, with investors on alert for any damage to key
infrastructure in Japan.
Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC, said the yen
strength was in reaction to earthquake-related headlines and
probably exacerbated by thin market liquidity.
"The Nightmare of 2011 Tohoku earthquake lingers," he said,
referring to the earthquake and tsunami that devastated
northeastern Japan in March 2011.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was 0.5% higher at
$118,042.85, while ether rose 1.2% to $3,808.81.