SINGAPORE, May 28 (Reuters) - The dollar waned on
Tuesday following a slight pick up in risk appetite, but it held
tight ranges against its peers ahead of key inflation data from
major economies this week that markets are looking to for
guidance on the global interest rate outlook.
Currency moves were largely subdued in early Asia hours
after a quiet overnight session due to holidays in Britain and
the United States, but the overall mood was positive with world
shares firming.
The euro was a touch firmer at $1.0860 despite
some dovish comments from European Central Bank (ECB)
policymakers on Monday and data showing German business morale
stagnated in May.
German inflation data due on Wednesday and the wider euro
zone bloc's reading on Friday will be watched for confirmation
of an ECB rate cut expected next week, alongside clues on how
soon subsequent easing from the central bank could come.
"The ECB is preparing itself for rate cuts next week, but
the importance is what happens beyond that, and the lack of
guidance from ECB speakers is telling in that sense," said
Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank
(NAB).
"Obviously, the inflation dynamics will set the tone in
terms of what to expect."
Sterling held near an over two-month high and last
bought $1.2774, while the New Zealand dollar inched up
nearly 0.1% to peak at $0.6155, its strongest level since
mid-March.
Down Under, the Aussie edged 0.03% higher to
$0.6657, with the country's monthly consumer price index data
also due on Wednesday.
All of that data, however, will be a sideshow to the main
focus for markets on Friday when U.S. core personal consumption
expenditures (PCE) price index report is released - the Federal
Reserve's preferred measure of inflation - where expectations
are for it to hold steady on a monthly basis.
The outlook for U.S. rates has been the dominant driver of
currency moves over the past few years, and recent data from the
world's largest economy has blown hot and cold which has dented
policymakers' confidence on the pace and scale of rate cuts
expected this year.
"The market is well priced for a benign number, and that
needs to be delivered... for current Fed cut expectations for
this year to be sustained," said NAB's Catril.
"Any number that surprises on the topside, we think, will
provide quite a big reaction in terms of a move up in U.S.
yields and for the dollar to rip higher."
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar dipped
0.01% to 104.55.
Elsewhere, the yen languished near the 157 per
dollar level and last stood at 156.87 per dollar, though it was
on track for its first monthly gain for 2024, helped by
suspected intervention from Japanese authorities towards the end
of April and start of May.
Tokyo inflation data, a leading indicator of nationwide
figures, is similarly due on Friday, which could provide further
clues on how soon subsequent rate hikes from the Bank of Japan
(BOJ) could come.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday the central bank will
proceed cautiously with inflation-targeting frameworks, noting
that some challenges are "uniquely difficult" for Japan after
years of ultra-easy monetary policy.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin eased 0.47% to $69,255,
while ether fell 0.2% to $3,882.20.