(Recasts, adds comments)
By Tom Westbrook and Stefano Rebaudo
SINGAPORE, June 5 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied on
Wednesday, ahead of key U.S. economic data and a monetary policy
meeting in Canada that traders have bet will set off a
rate-cutting cycle for some of the world's biggest economies.
Investors await U.S. services data on Wednesday and more job
figures later in the week.
The
greenback
has languished at an almost two-month low as signs of a
softening U.S. economy on Monday boosted the case for earlier
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
The Bank of Canada meets a day ahead of a European
Central Bank meeting on Thursday. Markets price about a 75%
chance of a Canadian rate cut and a 95% chance of a cut in
Europe.
The Canadian dollar hugged the middle of a
months-long range at C$1.3678 per dollar - as did the euro
at$1.0881 - and at both meetings the outlook will be
in focus at least as much as the decision.
"If there's a green light to a lot more cuts this year, then
I think that could really weaken the Canadian dollar," said
Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Joe Capurso.
The U.S. dollar index rose 0.11% to 104.92. It hit
103.99 on Tuesday, its lowest level since April 9.
Investors were also closely watching Brent crude futures,
which hovered near four-month lows on Wednesday.
"If low oil prices cause disinflation to become a global
phenomenon again, we wouldn't expect more policy divergence, nor
a weaker dollar, as this would trigger 'dovishness' everywhere,"
said Thierry Wizman, global forex strategist at Macquarie.
The yen slipped about 0.6% to 155.90 per dollar, retracing
much of Tuesday's gains that were driven by investors unwinding
bets in emerging markets.
Japanese real wages fell for a 25th straight month in
April, data on Wednesday showed, as inflation outpaces nominal
pay rises. The yen is the worst-performing G10 currency this
year, by some margin, and on Tuesday BOJ Deputy Governor Ryozo
Himino said the central bank must be "very vigilant" to the
impact the currency's weakness could have on the economy and
inflation.
The Australian dollar he Australian and New Zealand
dollars edged up after domestic economic news proved less dire
than investors had feared.
The Aussie was last up 0.1% to $0.6657. The New Zealand
dollar rose 0.1% to $0.6184.
Emerging markets stabilised after a turbulent few days.
The Mexican peso steadied after dropping some 4% on
the dollar and nearly 6% on the yen since the ruling
left-wing Morena party was re-elected and, in coalition, within
reach of two-thirds majorities in both Congress chambers.
"The trigger ... has been the pricing that the Morena
party's majority in Congress (means a) mandate to push forward
with major structural reforms and see greater government control
over businesses and the economy - a factor that potentially
reduces Mexico's standing as an international hub," said
Pepperstone's head of research Chris Weston.
Heavy selling of the peso against the yen showed investors
pulling back on one of the most popular "carry" or
interest-earning trades.
"President-elect Sheinbaum has signaled responsible fiscal
policies and central bank autonomy," Macquarie's Wizman said,
adding that the selloff on Mexican assets looked overdone.
"The dust may settle soon, leading to a period of
outperformance for the Mexican peso," he added.
India's rupee dropped after recovering from a
seven-week low it hit as election results showed voters had
returned Narendra Modi on a much slimmer margin than had been
expected.