(Updates to U.S. afternoon)
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Dollar index nearly flat for the week
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Sterling falls as Britain's borrowing shoots past
forecasts
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Yen appreciates as BOJ votes to hold but hawkishness grows
By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
NEW YORK, Sept 19 (Reuters) -
The dollar strengthened on Friday, extending its rebound
against most major currencies, as traders reviewed the near-term
outlook after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates this week
but signaled gradual easing in the future.
The U.S. Dollar Currency Index, which tracks the
greenback against six major peers, rose 0.3% to 97.662. The
gauge, which fell 1% on Monday and Tuesday on expectations the
Fed might flag a rapid series of rate cuts, was about flat for
the week.
On Wednesday, the Fed delivered an expected rate cut but
signaled little urgency to lower borrowing costs quickly in the
coming months. The Fed's rate forecast, or the so-called "dot
plot," showed projections of two more rate reductions this year.
"It's really a week of two halves," said Marc Chandler, chief
market strategist at Bannockburn Forex. "The votes, the actual
dots, were not as dovish as the statement and the concerns about
the labor market suggested."
The U.S. currency may have room to rebound further after facing
selling pressure in the days ahead of the Fed decision.
"What we're telling our clients is that this is just a
counter-trend move. If you have to sell dollars, you'll have a
better level shortly," Chandler said.
STERLING SLIDE
Sterling fell on Friday after Britain's borrowing surged past
official forecasts, further complicating the country's fiscal
outlook, while the yen firmed after the Bank of Japan held rates
steady, with dissent on the board.
The pound was one of the worst performers among G10
currencies, mirroring investors' concerns that British finance
minister Rachel Reeves may not be able to keep her budget under
control.
The currency eased 0.6% to $1.3468, on pace for
its
biggest two-day drop
since early April.
"Despite a better reading from UK August retail sales data, poor
UK government borrowing data have highlighted the difficulties
Chancellor Reeves faces in delivering the UK budget in
November," said Jane Foley, head FX strategist at Rabobank.
Data published early on Friday showed British retail sales rose
by a stronger-than-expected 0.5% in August, helped by sunny
weather, but sales growth in July was revised slightly down.
The borrowing figures - the highest for the first five
months of a financial year since 2020 - could pave the way for
further tax increases.
Even before Friday's data, Reeves had been expected to
announce new tax increases in her November 26 budget to stay on
track to meet her fiscal rules and avoid fresh upheaval in
financial markets.
BOJ DISSENT UNDERPINS YEN
In the BOJ, the unexpected dissent by two board members
against the decision to hold rates steady unsettled investors
and shifted their focus back on how soon the BOJ will next raise
rates.
"This was unexpected, and suggests that perhaps policy rate
hikes may be coming sooner than anticipated," said David Chao,
global market strategist for Asia-Pacific at Invesco in
Singapore.
The Japanese central bank's next meeting on October 30 will be
the "best chance" for a rate hike for the rest of 2025, he
added.
After a volatile session, the yen was nearly unchanged on
the day at 147.975 against the dollar..
Investors remain unsure whether the BOJ's policy path will
be affected by the October 4 leadership race in Japan's ruling
Liberal Democratic Party to replace outgoing Prime Minister
Shigeru Ishiba.
The New Zealand dollar extended its slump from the prior
session, falling 0.4%, a day after a strikingly weak reading on
the economy pushed yields sharply lower as markets ramped up
wagers for bigger rate cuts ahead.
Cryptocurrency bitcoin was 2% lower at $115,379.