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Dollar index nearly flat for the week
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Sterling falls as Britain's borrowing shoots past
forecasts
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Yen appreciates as BOJ votes to hold but hawkishness grows
(Update to U.S. morning)
By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
NEW YORK, Sept 19 (Reuters) -
The U.S. dollar rose on Friday, extending its rebound
against most major currencies, as traders reassessed the
near-term outlook after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates
this week but signalled that further easing would proceed only
gradually.
The U.S. Dollar Currency Index, which tracks the
greenback against six major peers, was up 0.3% at 97.588 on
Friday. The gauge, which fell 1% on Monday and Tuesday on
expectations the Federal Reserve might flag a rapid series of
rate cuts, was nearly flat for the week.
On Wednesday, the
Federal Reserve delivered an expected rate cut but signalled
little urgency to lower borrowing costs quickly in the coming
months. The Fed's rate forecast or the so-called "dot plot"
showed projections of two more rate reductions this year.
"It's really a week of two halves," Marc Chandler, chief
market strategist at Bannockburn Forex, said.
"The votes, the actual dots, were not as dovish as the
statement and the concerns about the labor market suggested,"
Chandler added.
With the dollar having come under selling pressure in
the days before the Fed decision, the U.S. currency may have
room to rebound further.
"What we're telling our clients is that this is just a
counter-trend move. If you have to sell dollars, you'll have a
better level shortly," Chandler said.
STERLING SLIDE
Sterling fell on Friday after Britain's borrowing surged
past official forecasts, further complicating the country's
fiscal outlook, while the yen firmed after the Bank of Japan's
decision to hold rates steady revealed divisions on the board.
The pound was one of the worst performers among G10
currencies, mirroring investors' concerns that British finance
minister Rachel Reeves may not be able to keep her budget under
control.
The currency was down 0.5% to $1.3492, heading
for its biggest two-day drop since late July.
"Despite a better reading from UK August retail sales data,
poor UK government borrowing data have highlighted the
difficulties Chancellor Reeves faces in delivering the UK budget
in November," Jane Foley, head FX strategist at Rabobank, said.
Data published early on Friday showed
British retail sales
rose by a stronger-than-expected 0.5% in August, helped by
sunny weather, but sales growth in July was revised slightly
down.
The borrowing figures - the highest for the first five
months of a financial year since 2020 - could pave the way for
further tax increases.
Even before Friday's data, Reeves had been expected to
announce new tax increases in her November 26 budget to stay on
track to meet her fiscal rules and avoid fresh upheaval in
financial markets.
BOJ DISSENT UNDERPINS YEN
In Asia, the BOJ board
dissent
came as a surprise, unsettling equity and bond investors
and putting their focus back on how soon the BOJ will next raise
interest rates.
"This was unexpected, and suggests that perhaps policy
rate hikes may be coming sooner than anticipated," David Chao,
global market strategist for Asia-Pacific at Invesco in
Singapore, said.
The central bank's next meeting on October 30 will now be a
live meeting, and "the best chance for a rate hike for the rest
of this year," he added.
In a volatile session after the BOJ decision, which saw
the board maintain interest rates at 0.5%, the yen surged
initially but later pulled back, leaving the dollar down about
0.1% against the Japanese currency at 147.85 yen.
After the decision, BOJ governor Kazuo Ueda told a press
conference that the central bank would continue to raise rates
if its economic and price forecasts prove correct.
In the meantime, Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party
(LDP) holds a leadership race on October 4 to replace outgoing
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, with markets uncertain whether
the outcome could impact the BOJ's policy path.
The New Zealand dollar extended its slump from the prior
session, falling 0.4%, a day after a strikingly weak reading on
the economy pushed yields sharply lower as markets ramped up
wagers for bigger rate cuts ahead.
Cryptocurrency bitcoin was 1.4% lower at $115,944.