SINGAPORE, July 24 (Reuters) - Commodity currencies
touched multi-week lows on Wednesday tracking weakness in
Chinese demand, while the yen has surged as short-sellers bail
out ahead of a central bank meeting.
Purchasing managers' index figures will be particularly
watched in Europe later in the session to see whether they
support bets on two European rate cuts by the end of January.
The euro held at $1.0848 in Asia trade and
sterling, which could rally if PMIs in Britain surprise
to the upside and reduce bets on rate cuts, bought $1.2901.
Markets price a 44% chance of a 10 basis point rate hike in
Japan next week and speculators, having also been rumbled by a
few rounds of suspected currency intervention from Japan, are
closing what had been profitable "carry trades" funded in yen.
Dollar/yen fell nearly 1% to 155.55 overnight and
traded nearby at 155.78 early in the Asia session.
Moves in other pairs were even larger, with the euro
dropping 1.3% on the yen overnight and hitting a
five-week low of 168.79 yen in Asia. Mexico's high-yielding peso
dropped 2% on the yen overnight and the Australian
dollar is down almost 6% on the yen in two weeks.
"The yen was super, super cheap," said BNZ senior strategist
Jason Wong in Wellington. "But with intervention, lots and lots
of short position (holders) are taking money off the table ahead
of the Bank of Japan meeting next week."
Falls in oil, iron ore and copper prices as well as a ripple
of risk aversion in equities have dragged currencies such as the
Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars down on the U.S.
dollar.
The Aussie touched a five-week low just below
$0.6612 in early trade on Wednesday. The New Zealand dollar
hovered near Tuesday's two-and-a-half month low of
$0.5951.
Chinese growth figures missed forecasts last week and
surprise rate cuts on Monday have drawn attention to a
lacklustre outlook for raw material demand, weighing bellwether
commodities such as iron ore and copper to three-month lows on
Wednesday.
The Canadian dollar made a six-week low of C$1.3787
per dollar ahead of a central bank meeting later on Wednesday
where markets have priced an 84% chance of a 25 basis point rate
cut.
At 104.5 the U.S. dollar index was close to a
two-week high. China's yuan was steady at 7.2909 in
offshore trade.
Further ahead traders are waiting on U.S. GDP and core PCE
data due later in the week to test expectations for two U.S.
rate cuts over the rest of this year. Next week's second-quarter
inflation data in Australia will be crucial for pricing the risk
of another interest rate hike.