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FOREX-Dollar holds firm as Iran war uncertainty keeps markets on edge
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FOREX-Dollar holds firm as Iran war uncertainty keeps markets on edge
May 11, 2026 5:47 AM

* Dollar steady, markets fret over Mideast conflict

dragging on

* Oil prices jump, Brent crude up 3.6%

* Pound sterling pulls back, investors weigh local

election fallout

(Updates prices)

By Sophie Kiderlin and Gregor Stuart Hunter

LONDON, May 11 (Reuters) - The dollar held firm on

Monday after U.S. President Donald Trumprejected Iran's response

to a U.S. peace proposal, a move that sent oil prices higher and

prompted renewed concerns that the conflict in the Middle East

will drag on.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency's

strength against a basket of six others, was little changed at

97.977.

Oil prices jumped, with Brent crude up 2.5% at

$103.8 a barrel.

Ultimately, markets still believed there would be a

resolution to the conflict - and the market reaction on Monday

was a lot tamer than during past flare-ups in rhetoric - Kenneth

Broux, head of corporate research for FX and rates at Societe

Generale, said.

"I think the reason for that may be the involvement of

China," he said. "The summit with China and the U.S. later this

week is, for me, the main event really," Broux said, pointing to

the influence the two countries have in the Middle East.

TRUMP IN CHINA CLOSELY WATCHED

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to discuss

Iran, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons and

critical minerals when they meet, according to U.S. officials.

Inflation and growth worries linked to higher oil prices, as

well as any potential reaction from central banks, also continue

to play on the market's mind, Broux said.

U.S. inflation data for April is due this week after the U.S.

jobs report released Friday showed that non-farm payrolls

increased 115,000 in April, almost twice as fast as expected.

Those figures reinforced expectations the Federal Reserve would

keep interest rates unchanged for some time.

The Fed held rates steady last month as expected, but the

decision exposed its deepest split in decades, with three

officials dissenting against signalling future rate cuts.

Factors that could weigh on the dollar "have become more

elusive after hawkish Fed dissents, resilient U.S. data and

continued stalemate in the Middle East," Alex Loo, senior macro

strategist at TD Securities in Singapore, said.

Elsewhere, China's yuan reached its strongest level against

the U.S. dollar in more than three years at one point on Monday.

The offshore yuan was last steady, trading at 6.7928 yuan per

dollar.

Data earlier in the day showed China's producer prices smashed

expectations to hit a 45-month high in April on rising global

energy costs. That followed figures released over the weekend

showing China's export growth accelerated last month as

factories raced to meet AI-related demand.

The euro was down 0.1% at $1.1772, the yen

slipped 0.3% to 157.11 yen per dollar and the pound was

0.2% lower at $1.361.

In the UK, markets are closely watching any potential

fallout from last week's local elections, which saw heavy losses

for British Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour Party.

"While Labour losses were not quite as bad as feared, they

have failed to quell speculation over a Labour leadership

contest and a clear leftward drift in government policy," Chris

Turner, ING's global head of markets, said in a note.

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