*
Dollar broadly steady, eyes on Wednesday's US CPI data
*
China changes monetary stance to 'appropriately loose'
from
'prudent'
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ECB, BoC and SNB expected to cut rates this week
(Updates prices at 1215 GMT)
By Vidya Ranganathan and Greta Rosen Fondahn
SINGAPORE/LONDON, Dec 9 (Reuters) - The euro held steady
against the dollar in skittish trading on Monday as investors
awaited U.S. inflation data later this week, while the
Australian and New Zealand dollars rallied after China pledged
an "appropriately loose" monetary policy next year.
While markets have priced in a quarter-point rate cut by the
U.S. Federal Reserve next week as a near certainty, investors
are waiting for U.S. consumer price data on Wednesday.
"The move higher in unemployment that we saw in November,
that really just cements the case for a 25-basis point cut next
Wednesday," said Michael Brown, senior research strategist at
Pepperstone.
"Unless we get a really hot inflation number, but that's
certainly not the base case."
"The Fed are much more focused at this moment in time on the
labour market as opposed to developments with regards to
inflation," he added.
Data on Friday showed that U.S. job growth surged in
November, but a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2% pointed to
an easing labour market that should allow the Fed to cut
interest rates again this month.
The euro was flat against the dollar at $1.0566, having
fallen earlier by as much as 0.3%, while the greenback gained
0.34% against the yen to 150.515. The dollar index
was flat at 105.96.
Brown expected the upcoming U.S. inflation data, European
Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday and Fed rate decision
next week to lead to subdued trading in currencies for the time
being, "given the amount of event risk that we've got on the
horizon".
Mizuho Bank strategist Vishnu Varathan also pointed to a
host of geopolitical developments, such as the weekend fall of
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, alongside macro- and
Trump-related trades as providing markets further impetus to
stay long dollars.
"There's no incentive to short the dollar against any
particular currency," he said.
The Australian dollar gained 0.84% on the
greenback, and the kiwi rose 0.5%, after China
announced a shift in monetary policy to spur growth.
The two currencies often serve as a proxy for the Chinese
yuan, which strengthened in the offshore market to
leave the dollar down 0.13% at 7.275.
China will adopt an "appropriately loose" monetary policy
next year as part of steps to support economic growth, and will
implement a more proactive fiscal policy and step up
"unconventional" counter-cyclical adjustments, state media
reported on Monday, citing a Politburo meeting.
The central bank has outlined five policy stances - "loose",
"appropriately loose", "prudent", "appropriately tight" and
"tight" - with flexibility on either side of each.
China adopted an "appropriately loose" monetary policy after
the 2008 global financial crisis, before switching to "prudent"
in late 2010.
The dollar rose 0.53% versus South Korea's won. Over
the weekend, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol survived an
impeachment vote in parliament prompted by his short-lived
attempt to impose martial law last week.
Last week's headliner, bitcoin, which hit six-figures
for the first time at a record $103,649, was last at $98,282.
CENTRAL BANK MEETINGS
The main events investors are watching this week are the ECB
policy meeting on Thursday, where a quarter point cut is baked
in, and China's closed-door Central Economic Work Conference.
The Bank of Canada (BoC), the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meet this week, with deep rate
cuts expected from the first two that could turn yield
differentials even more against their currencies.
The Canadian dollar traded near a 4-1/2-year low on
Monday as markets anticipate another outsized interest-rate cut.
The loonie pared some earlier losses and the dollar was last
down 0.21% against the currency.
The RBA is the only central bank among its peers that has
not yet begun cutting rates, and it isn't expected to do so in
December either, although it might soften its tone on growth
targets.
This week will be an interesting one for the Swiss franc
, given the intense debate about how deep the SNB's fourth
rate cut of the cycle will be. Markets give a higher probability
for a larger 50-basis point cut, and are even priming for
negative interest rates by next year.