(Updated in New York afternoon time)
* Fed funds futures show 35% chance of September hike, down
from 40% on Wednesday
* July producer prices are unchanged after revised 0.1% drop
in June
* Dollar index edges up 0.02% to 99.96 after briefly falling
to 99.80
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Aug 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was mixed on
Thursday after data showed that producer prices were unchanged
in July, leading traders to further pare bets on a September
Federal Reserve interest rate hike.
The flat reading in the Producer Price Index for final demand
last month followed a revised 0.1% drop in June. Economists
polled by Reuters had forecast the PPI rebounding 0.2%.
It comes after Wednesday's consumer price inflation report
showed that U.S. consumer prices barely increased last month.
Noel Dixon, senior macro strategist at State Street, said
the components of Thursday's report that feed into the personal
consumption expenditures data due later this month suggest that
the report "should be pretty good."
"My takeaway from that number and yesterday's number is that
it helps to make the case for the Fed staying on hold in
September," Dixon said.
Fed funds futures now show a 35% probability of a September
hike, down from 40% on Wednesday and 55% a week earlier.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.02% to 99.96, after earlier falling to 99.80 in the
aftermath of the PPI report. The euro gained 0.03% to
$1.1528.
Traders have been weighing whether the Fed will need to
raise rates as inflation remains stubbornly above the central
bank's 2% target and oil prices climb amid Iran-related
disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices pared losses to less than 1% after dropping more
than 3% earlier on Thursday, as reports that Yemen's Houthis had
targeted a Saudi Aramco refinery with drones renewed concerns
over supply disruptions in an already tight global market.
Other data on Thursday showed that the number of Americans
filing claims for unemployment benefits increased moderately
last week, suggesting that the labor market remains stable
despite July's surprise job losses. Retail sales data on Friday
will be the next test of U.S. economic strength.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.04% to 159.48 per
dollar.
The Japanese currency has given back some of the gains from last
month's historic joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan. That
intervention has fueled market bets that the Bank of Japan will
need to hike rates faster and further, raising the stakes for
the currency heading into next month's policy meeting.
"I don't think it's scared away investors from continuing to
fade the yen unless we get the BOJ to deliver in September, and
have an increase in hawkish guidance," said Dixon.
The pound weakened 0.08% to $1.3481. The UK economy
unexpectedly grew in June, thanks to a dip in energy prices,
along with the start of the men's soccer World Cup and hot
weather.
The Norwegian crown weakened after Norges Bank left interest
rates unchanged, as expected, while flagging that inflation had
softened recently. At 4.25%, Norway holds one of the highest
interest rates among the 10 most developed economies, and its
status as an oil and gas exporter has given the crown a boost
this year.
Against the Norwegian crown, the dollar strengthened
0.24% to 9.51.