* Fed rate hike odds rise as traders eye inflation,
energy disruptions
* Yen weakens, BOJ seen hiking rates slowly
* Australia, Europe face growth risks from energy costs,
supporting dollar strength
(Updated in New York morning time)
By Karen Brettell and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK/LONDON, May 22 (Reuters) - The dollar held near
six-week highs on Friday as traders weighed the prospects of a
near-term deal to end the Middle East war and assessed whether
the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates if inflation
continued to accelerate.
Iran's foreign minister met with Pakistan's interior
minister to discuss proposals to end the U.S.-Israeli conflict,
Iranian media reported. The two sides remain at odds over
Tehran's uranium stockpile and control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Traders are increasingly concerned that ongoing energy
disruptions will filter through to core consumer prices,
potentially forcing a tighter monetary policy response.
"The key question now, of course, is if the Fed is going to
hold," said Noel Dixon, global macro strategist at State Street
Global Advisors. So far, inflation pressures feeding into the
Fed's preferred gauge - Personal Consumption Expenditures - have
remained relatively contained, Dixon said, supporting the case
for keeping rates on hold.
However, he cautioned that "the risk to my view is that
Trump resumes attacks on Iran in an aggressive fashion. That
could be a catalyst for greater interest rate volatility, and
that could cause the Fed to panic and seriously consider a
hike."
Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 54% odds of a rate
hike by December.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a
basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.09% to 99.28, with the euro down 0.12% at $1.1604.
The pound gained 0.08% to $1.344, having shrugged off
data earlier that showed retail sales dropped by the most in
nearly a year in April, as consumers felt the pinch of the
inflationary effects of the Iran war.
Countries more exposed to rising energy costs face mounting
growth concerns, lending further support to the U.S. dollar over
its peers. Australia, for instance, is grappling with shortages
of jet fuel and diesel that are likely to weigh on several key
industries, Dixon noted.
The Australian dollar weakened 0.27% versus the
greenback to $0.7128.
UNDER PRESSURE
The U.S. dollar's strength and persistently high oil prices
have spelled pain for the yen, which on Friday weakened
0.06% against the greenback to 159.1 per dollar.
The yen remains fragile even after what was likely
intervention by Tokyo just weeks ago to prop it up - it has
since surrendered nearly 75% of those gains, keeping traders on
alert for further action by Japanese authorities.
"It's just buying time, really. What they need is a change
in fundamentals, and I think the best thing that could happen is
a quick deal to end the Iran conflict," said Lee Hardman, a
currency strategist at MUFG.
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise borrowing costs only
gradually, while other central banks - including the European
Central Bank - are likely to move far more quickly, putting the
yen at a disadvantage with yield-seeking investors.
Data on Friday showed Japan's core inflation slowed to a
four-year low in April, complicating the outlook for BOJ policy.