* Dollar index on track for 2.5% jump in June
* Middle East tensions, U.S. jobs data in focus
* ECB forum eyed for policy signals
By Jiaxing Li
HONG KONG, June 29 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was on the
defensive on Monday but remained on track for its biggest
monthly gain in nearly a year, due to tension in the Gulf and
ahead of jobs data that could shape the Federal Reserve's rate
path.
The U.S. and Iran traded fresh barbs over the weekend before
they agreed to stop tit-for-tat attacks and meet in Qatar on
Tuesday, leaving investors nervous about a fragile ceasefire.
Oil prices rose on Monday following strikes that again
slowed energy shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, supporting
safe-haven demand for the greenback.
The euro was flat at $1.1387 after hitting a 13-month
low against the dollar last week, and was on track for a 2.3%
monthly decline. Sterling traded 0.1% lower at $1.3198
and was down 2% for the month.
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fetched
$0.6885, down 0.1% in early trade and heading for a 4.1% monthly
decline. The New Zealand dollar was little changed at
$0.5635, down 5.9% for the month.
The Japanese yen last traded at 161.75, continuing to
languish near a 40-year low.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
was a shade higher at 101.36.
It is now on track for a 2.5% gain for June, which marks the
biggest monthly advance since July last year.
The conflict with Iran has continued to stoke inflation
pressures, while a surprisingly hawkish debut from Kevin Warsh
as Federal Reserve chair earlier in the month has reversed
market expectations for U.S. rate cuts this year.
Meanwhile, a tech-led global equity selloff is also driving
flows into the dollar as investors seek shelter.
Investors are now watching U.S. non-farm payroll
and unemployment rates due this week,
which could offer fresh clues on the strength of the labour
market and the outlook for Fed policy.
"We expect the USD to grind higher in coming weeks because
of the 'US exceptionalism' narrative," Joseph Capurso, head of
foreign exchange at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a
note.
A strong and improving labour market is a recipe for higher
U.S. interest rates and the dollar, he said.
The European Central Bank's annual forum this week is also
under close watch as investors continue to monitor evolving
central bank policies amid lower oil prices and stock market
volatility.
ECB President Christine Lagarde opens the forum on Monday,
followed by a key policy panel on Wednesday featuring Fed Chair
Warsh, with markets looking for a clearer read on the new Fed
chief.