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ECB set to keep rates steady at 1315 GMT
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Bank of England also expected to hold rates, decision due
1200
GMT
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Dollar-yuan little changed after Trump-Xi phone call
(Recasts, updates markets, adds quote, JGB auction results)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, Feb 5 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed to a
two-week high on Thursday as fresh volatility gripped stocks and
precious metals, while traders counted down to rate decisions
from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's
strength against a basket of six currencies, was last up 0.1% at
97.762, extending gains into a second day.
"There's a bit of risk aversion coming through," said Sim
Moh Siong, currency strategist at OCBC in Singapore. "When
there's risk aversion, the dollar tends to strengthen."
The dollar has regained some strength this week and stocks
turned risk-off as financial markets assess U.S. corporate
earnings season, now halfway complete.
Gold and silver, which have become more volatile recently as
a result of leveraged buying and speculative flows, were rocked
by a fresh selloff on Thursday, which saw silver falling as much
as 16.6% to a low of $73.41.
The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 2.9% during the past two
days, its biggest slide since October, with volatility triggered
by market bellwethers including Google parent Alphabet
, which reported aggressive spending plans on
Wednesday, and a rout in software stocks as they adapt to a new
era of generative AI.
Against the yen, the U.S. dollar was trading at
156.81 yen, holding steady after an auction of 30-year Japanese
government bonds drew solid demand, while Japan's election
campaign entered its final stretch ahead of Sunday's poll.
The euro was last down 0.2% at $1.1790 ahead of the
ECB decision, where it is expected to keep rates on hold.
Investors' attention will be focused on the post-policy press
conference to gauge the outlook for rates over the coming
months.
"The emphasis will likely be on higher uncertainty," with
only minor tweaks in communication, according to analysts from
Bank of America, who expect the ECB to hold rates later in the
day. "Our conviction in a March cut is not rock solid, but we
remain convinced of an easing bias from here."
The British pound was last down 0.2% at $1.3621
ahead of the BoE's policy decision, at which it is also expected
to remain on hold.
As the Asian trading session began, Federal Reserve Governor
Lisa Cook said in a speech she is more concerned about stalled
progress on inflation than a weakening labour market, a strong
signal that she will not support another interest-rate cut until
tariff-induced price pressures begin to recede.
Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 88% probability
that the U.S. central bank will hold rates at its next two-day
meeting ending on March 18, though bets on a rate cut edged up
to 12% from 9.4% a day earlier, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch tool.
Against the offshore yuan, the U.S. dollar was last
flat at 6.9439 yuan following a phone call between U.S.
President Donald Trump and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in
which they discussed trade, security issues and U.S. arms sales
to Taiwan.
Antipodean currencies, which often mirror global risk
appetite, saw their strength fade during the trading session as
investor confidence dimmed.
The Australian dollar fell 0.4% to $0.6968, giving up
earlier gains following the release of trade balance data which
was a little ahead of market estimates. The New Zealand dollar
was last down 0.3% at $0.5986.
Cryptocurrencies extended losses after a selloff, which saw
digital assets fall to the lowest since November 2024, with
bitcoin tumbling as much as 3.54% to $70,052.48, and
ether off 1.3% at $2,098.44.