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Upbeat Tokyo core inflation underpins yen
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Fed's preferred PCE inflation data awaited
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Dollar index set for fifth-straight monthly decline
(Updates moves, adds analyst comment throughout)
By Johann M Cherian and Linda Pasquini
SINGAPORE/GDANSK May 30 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar
wobbled on Friday en route to its fifth-straight monthly decline
as traders braced for further uncertainty around trade policy
and U.S. fiscal health, while awaiting pivotal inflation reports
later in the day.
The greenback had a choppy week, ending lower in the
previous session after a federal court temporarily reinstated
the most sweeping of President Donald Trump's tariffs, just a
day after another court had ordered an immediate block on them.
Trump said on Thursday he hoped the Supreme Court would
overturn the trade court's decision, while officials also
indicated that they could employ other presidential powers to
ensure the tariffs take effect.
The uncertainty around tariffs has exerted a vice-like grip
on markets as investors flee U.S. assets in a search for
alternatives, worried that Trump's erratic policies could
challenge the strength and outperformance of U.S. markets.
"The news is making the U.S. a less attractive place for
foreign investors to go," said Kit Juckes, chief FX strategist
at Societe Generale.
This will not stop money from flowing there, Juckes
said, but investors will be looking for more attractive
incentives such as a slightly weaker currency or high yields.
On Friday, the euro was slightly lower at $1.1331,
ahead of German inflation data for May while the Swiss franc
was little changed at 0.8243 per dollar.
The U.S. currency, though, was set for monthly declines
against the Swiss franc, the euro and the pound.
Thursday's weekly jobless claims and economic growth data
did little to placate worries of a U.S. economic downturn.
Investor focus will be on the Federal Reserve's preferred
inflation data - the personal consumption expenditure (PCE)
report - later on Friday.
Worries about fiscal debt levels in developed economies,
highlighted by weak appetite for freshly issued, longer-dated
credit in the U.S. and in Japan, have also weighed.
The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. unit against
a basket of six other currencies, was 0.3% higher at 99.56. The
index was set for a decline of 0.10% in May, its fifth straight
month in the red.
On the flip side, markets have taken note of emerging market
assets. An index tracking emerging market currencies
has gained about 2% for the month - its biggest
one-month rise since November 2023.
INFLATION WATCH
The Japanese yen was little changed at 144.05 per
dollar after data showed underlying inflation in Tokyo hit a
more than two-year high in May, keeping alive the chances of
further interest rate hikes from the Bank of Japan.
"The BOJ is in a difficult position," said Min Joo Kang,
senior economist at ING. "Inflationary pressures remain hot,
while the economic recovery remains fragile - and facing strong
headwinds from U.S. tariffs."
However, the yen is on track for its first monthly decline
against the dollar this year.
Markets are also on the lookout for clues on highly
anticipated trade deals as the Trump-mandated July 9 deadline
for implementation of tariffs draws near.
The U.S. PCE data is likely to show that inflation rose 2.2%
in April, according to economists polled by Reuters, compared
with a 2.3% increase in March.
The Fed tracks the PCE price measures for its 2% inflation
target. Economists are forecasting a surge in inflation this
year as the Trump administration's import duties raise the cost
of goods.
"The danger is the next piece of news on, for example, the
tariff impact on import prices", which however would come later
in the year, Juckes said.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar slid to $0.6421,
while the New Zealand dollar was last bought at $0.5961.