* US employers added 57,000 jobs in June, below economists'
110,000 forecast
* Fed funds futures priced a 53% chance of a September rate
hike, down from 67%
* Sources say Tokyo dropped explicit intervention warnings
to unsettle yen bears
(Updated in New York morning time)
By Karen Brettell and Harry Robertson
NEW YORK/LONDON, July 2 (Reuters) - The dollar fell sharply
on Thursday after the closely watched June employment report
showed U.S. employers added far fewer jobs than expected, while
the Japanese yen surged as traders braced for possible
intervention by Japanese authorities.
Employers added 57,000 jobs, below economists' expectations
for 110,000 job gains. Unemployment slipped to 4.2%, from 4.3%.
Markets quickly repriced their expectations for Federal
Reserve policy. Fed funds futures traders now see a 53% chance
of a rate hike by September, down from 67% before the report.
"It is weaker than expected, but the bulk of the numbers
were in leisure and hospitality. That's probably driven more by
seasonal factors than by anything else, so it's not very
nefarious," Sarah Ying, head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital
Markets, said.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
was last down 0.66% at 100.73, with the euro up 0.63% at
$1.1448.
The dollar had been buoyed in recent months by rising
expectations that the Fed would raise rates as it continues to
battle inflation running well above its 2% annual target. Strong
capital inflows tied to the artificial intelligence boom have
also supported the currency.
"Unless we continue to see disappointments in the labor
market data, it still feels like the AI narrative is driving a
lot of the flow," Ying said.
YEN SURGES
The Japanese yen rallied sharply against the dollar on
Thursday as traders weighed a shift in intervention strategy by
Japan's Ministry of Finance and speculated whether Tokyo had
already moved.
Sources told Reuters Japanese officials were abandoning
their habit of telegraphing intervention risks, instead
signalling a more targeted campaign to squeeze speculators and
raise the cost of betting against the yen.
Officials were also avoiding any suggestion of a specific
"line in the sand" exchange-rate level that would trigger
action, in a more aggressive approach aimed at keeping traders
guessing.
"If they're not going to give guidance, the MOF can come in
at any time. So that is a scarier thought, I would think,
relative to the current status quo," Ying said.
"It's just a more aggressive way for the MOF to communicate
and to respond to yen weakness."
The Japanese yen strengthened 0.91% against the
greenback to 160.97 per dollar and reached 160.62, the strongest
since June 18.
What triggered the move remained unclear, and Japan's
Ministry of Finance declined to comment. Traders and strategists
offered differing explanations, with some speculating that
authorities had checked rates in the market - a move that
typically signals a willingness to intervene and can rattle
currency markets on its own.
"We will have to wait for data to ascertain if this was
intervention, but the timing of the move does suggest that it
was," Abbas Keshvani, Asia macro strategist at RBC Capital
Markets in Singapore, said.